What Bitcoin Did
What Bitcoin Did
Danny Knowles
2026 Macro Outlook and What It Means for Bitcoin | Joe Carlasare
1 hour 16 minutes Posted Dec 30, 2025 at 6:13 pm.
Overview of 2025 and Bitcoin's performance
Major headwinds for Bitcoin in 2025
Bearish sentiment around Bitcoin
Comparing sentiment to the FTX collapse
Why did you pick 130K?
Impact of the October 10th crypto liquidation
Bitcoin is a sentimental driven market
Macro stuff: The economy and manufacturing
Bulk of inflationary pressure was transitory
Defining inflation
Will inflation come back in the next year?
Unsustainable inflation and shelter costs
The fed and a positive economy
The Treasury companies
0:00
1:16:35
Download MP3
Show notes

Joe Carlasare joins the show for a breakdown of why Bitcoin’s sideways year has been so widely misread, and why sentiment today is the worst it's been. We get into why 2025 fell below expectations, why Bitcoin’s lack of volatility pushed capital toward AI stocks and gold, and the fall out from the October 10th liquidation event.

We get into why the four year cycle narrative no longer fits a market shaped by ETFs, options, and institutional hedging, why calendar based thinking has become a liability, and why a year of consolidation may be working off excess rather than signalling weakness. Joe explains why a new all time high in 2026 would be one of the most bullish developments in Bitcoin’s history, permanently breaking cycle psychology, and lays out what could shift Bitcoin from hard mode back into a structurally bullish macro asset as liquidity, positioning, and confidence come back.

THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS:

IREN

ANCHORWATCH

BLOCKWARE

LEDN

BITKEY

SWAN

FOLLOW:

Danny Knowles: https://x.com/_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny

Joe Carlasare: https://x.com/JoeCarlasare