Why would anyone trade on Taylor Swift's wedding? Kalshi founder Tarek Mansour explains why "frivolous" markets have real economic stakes, and why it's illegal to trade onion futures in America.

Who hates Kalshi? According to founder Tarek Mansour, it starts with the casinos. He explains why the casino lobby is pushing states to ban prediction markets, why Kalshi was pulled as a sponsor at the last minute from a Vault event at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, and why the fight was never really about protecting customers.

Kalshi had Flávio Bolsonaro at roughly 85% to win Brazil's presidential election. Then Lula won the runoff. Was the prediction market wrong? Kalshi founder Tarek Mansour explains what really happened, and what it means for the 2026 midterms.Mansour breaks down the biggest misunderstanding about prediction markets: a 25% chance isn't zero. It means that outcome should happen one in four times. He explains how markets absorb new information in real time, why accuracy can only be judged across thousands of markets (not one), and why Kalshi's odds are a probability, not a poll.

Mansour shares his message to young people who feel shut out of the system: stop sitting on the sidelines. With AI, it's never been easier to build something. His advice is to follow the thing you're "childishly excited" about, the topic your friends roll their eyes at because you can't stop talking about it.

Gavin Newsom was caught on camera telling an undercover journalist that the Democratic Socialists of America will be the dominant force in the Democratic Party. While campaigning in New Hampshire for Democratic candidate Stefany Shaheen, Newsom was approached by someone posing as a young voter who said younger Democrats want more democratic socialist policies, not "more Kamala Harris."

How does Kalshi make money, and is it gambling? Kalshi founder Tarek Mansour explains why Kalshi works like a stock exchange, not a casino.A sportsbook makes money when you lose, so it has every reason to push out winning bettors. Kalshi takes a small fee on every trade, win or lose, which means it wants the smartest traders. Just like the New York Stock Exchange, those traders make the prices more accurate.------

For the first time since the Korean War, the U.S. Army is training for mass temporary burials on the battlefield. At Fort Bragg, North Carolina, engineers, chaplains, and fatality management teams practiced digging temporary graves, a wartime procedure for when fallen soldiers can't be safely brought home right away. So why is the Army preparing for this now?

Elon Musk is warning that a Democratic sweep of the House, Senate, and presidency in 2028 could turn America into "a permanent one-party state." In a viral post, Musk lays out three things he believes Democrats would do with full control: make DC and Puerto Rico states, legalize everyone living in America illegally, and expand the Supreme Court.

How much does fame really matter compared to looks? Looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular and former ’90s heartthrob Antonio Sabato Jr. compare their dating lives before and after becoming famous. Sabato Jr. recalls getting famous at 17 from Janet Jackson’s “Love Will Never Do (Without You)” video and General Hospital, while Clavicular reveals he gets so many DMs from women that he’s outsourced replying to them, and explains why he says famous guys should never cold approach again.

Clavicular reveals what’s next for his career, saying he wants to leave his immature early days behind and focus on content that actually helps young men, like safe dieting without stunting development. He talks about the 14-person team he trusts, and Antonio Sabato Jr. shares his advice as a father in his 50s, calling Clavicular a smart, well-meaning kid with a good heart who wants to give back.