Unchained
Unchained
Laura Shin
RERUN: How to Figure Out Whether a Crypto Token Is Worth Its Trading Price - Ep. 756
1 hour 24 minutes Posted Dec 27, 2024 at 2:00 pm.
Intro
Token unlocks creating market concerns
Unrealized gains to market cap ratio impact
Token supply manipulation tactics
How investors can verify token projects
Secondary market trading and unlock impacts
Current token launch strategy persistence
Short-term vs long-term project decisions
Time-based vs metric-based token unlocks
SEC investigations into VC practices
Bearish outlook for upcoming token unlocks
Investor risks in current cycle
Future of VCs in crypto and memecoins
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Show notes
Low float and high fully diluted valuation (FDV) coins have been a hot topic in crypto this year. Yet, understanding these coins' unrealized gains is critical for truly grasping their pricing.In this episode, Jose Macedo of Delphi Digital and Ari Paul of BlockTower Capital dive deep into metrics that help assess a coin’s true value. They discuss why upcoming token unlocks may put downward pressure on the market, how token unlocks could be better structured for long-term success, and whether VCs are extracting more value than they contribute.Show highlights:
Why upcoming token unlock events are creating anxiety in the crypto market
The role unrealized gains play in token price volatility
How certain projects manipulate circulating supply metrics to influence perceptions
Tips for everyday investors to uncover accurate token information
The impact of secondary market trading on anticipated token unlock events
Why short-term token strategies often prevail over those focused on sustained success
Jose’s insights into why simple, time-based unlock models may outperform complex systems
Ari’s thoughts on the SEC’s investigations into VCs and their parallels to pump-and-dump schemes
Why many crypto projects face a bearish outlook due to pending token unlocks
How the intersection of memecoins and VC involvement could shape the next market cycle
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.comThank you to our sponsors!PolkadotGuests:
Jose Macedo, founder at Delphi Labs
Ari Paul, CIO of BlockTower Capital
Previous appearances on Unchained:
Ari Paul on Why Bitcoin Is a Good Value Buy
Ari Paul of BlockTower Capital on the Crypto Downturn and Why It Could Change Direction
LinksHigh FDV and unlocks:
Unchained:
How ‘Fully Diluted Valuation’ Can Be a Very Dangerous Metric for Crypto Markets to Rely On
Who’s to Blame for the Underperformance of Low Float, High FDV Tokens?
80% of Tokens on Binance Are Down Since Listing Date: SwissBorg Researcher
Cobie newsletter: New launches (part 1) - private capture, phantom pricing
Rocknblock: Token vesting explainer
CoinDesk: 'Liquid Vesting' Is Oxymoronic Blockchain Feature That Lets Early Investors Sell Without Waiting
Jose’s thread that inspired the episode
Ari’s post responding to Jose’s thread
Token.unlocks.app: Token vesting tracker
Solutions:
Hack VC: Potential Solutions to Crypto's Unlock Problem
Colony Lab: Early-Stage Program & Liquid Vesting
Imran Khan’s tweet on Blast https://x.com/lmrankhan/status/1806040646433522149 
Timestamps:
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