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Sequoia Capital
Chai Discovery's Bitter Lesson: Drug Design Is Another Scaling Problem
47 minutes Posted Aug 4, 2026 at 9:00 am.
Introduction
From Discovery to Design
Protein AI Breakthroughs Timeline
Why Start in 2024
Diffusion Models Intuition
Building the Avengers Team
Hit Rates and Scaling Laws
Molecular CAD Vision
Faster Design Loops
Future Drug Discovery
Platform Business Model
Partnering Reality Check
Data Flywheel Explained
Staying Ahead at Scale
Culture and What's Next
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Show notes
Most people treat biology as a bespoke, messy science. Josh Meier and Matt McPartlon, co-founders of Chai Discovery, treat it as an engineering problem. They make the case that drug design obeys the bitter lesson: scale data, models, and compute, and the model can learn what a hand-built pipeline simply couldn't capture. The results are concrete: Chai-2 pushed de novo antibody design from a sub 0.1% hit rate to 16%, turning a needle-in-a-haystack search into something more like designing a key to fit a lock. Josh argues, counterintuitively, that biology is more verifiable than code, and explains why the goal should be more lab experiments, not fewer. Their bet: a design suite that collapses drug discovery from nine months to nine days, and arms the pharma industry rather than competing with it.
Hosted by Pat Grady and Sonali Singh, Sequoia Capital