The paper discussed in this episode is: Persistent Overconfidence and Biased Memory: Evidence from Managers, by David Huffman, Collin Raymond, and Julia Shvets.

Other papers referenced in this episode are:

Bénabou, Roland, and Jean Tirole, “Self-confidence and personal motivation,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002, 117 (3), 871–915.

Benoît, Jean-Pierre and Juan Dubra, “Apparent overconfidence,” Econometrica, 2011, 79 (5), 1591–1625.

Benoît, Jean-Pierre, Juan Dubra, and Don A Moore, “Does the better-than-average effect show that people are overconfident?: Two experiments,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 2015, 13 (2), 293–329.

Burks, Stephen V, Jeffrey P Carpenter, Lorenz Goette, and Aldo Rustichini, “Overconfidence and social signalling,” Review of Economic Studies, 2013, 80 (3), 949–983.