Show Notes Host: Ryan Harris Guest: Matt Stein, CEO, Salient Predictions Description: The atmosphere is the main driver of our daily weather.  But it's the oceans, with its long-term thermodynamic memory, that drive our climate patterns from seasonal, to decadal, and beyond.  NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and an increasing number of private industry companies like Salient Predictions use signals in long-term ocean patterns, soil moisture, sea ice, and snow cover to make much longer predictions than what you might see on your daily weather app.  Such signals give us long-term oscillation patterns like El Nino, the Arctic Oscillation, and more.  And these companies are helping industries from energy, to agriculture, to insurance buy down sub-seasonal to seasonal environmental risk.  It’s one of the frontiers in the weather and climate world where climate science meets data science head and where unique machine learning techniques are finding new signals in the noise of our chaotic climate. See Podcast Website for Complete Show Notes --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Host: Ryan Harris Guests: Brian LaMarre, NWS Meteorologist in Charge, Tampa Bay Description: In 1900, an estimated 8,000 people lost their lives in the Great Galveston Hurricane that September. Our understanding of hurricane risk has improved immensely since then, but still over 100 were killed just 18 months ago in Hurricane Ian. Risk is defined as the probability of some hazard occurring multiplied by the impact that hazard may have on an individual, population, or system. The first problem here is that humans don't always understand probabilities, and the second problem is that humans have a psychological bias to downplay or plain ignore the risk of hazards because they haven't personally experienced the hazard before. Hurricane Ian was a perfect example of poor risk perceptions, and it's the first topic we uncover this year as Brian LaMarre from the National Weather Service joins The Triple Point™. Hear about how the Weather Service is improving risk perceptions with better technology and communications strategies, and also the importance of personal accountability and trusting authoritative sources. For complete show notes: https://triplepointpodcast.com --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Hosts: Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris (and Eric Hunt for Episode 23) Guests: All 2023 Guests Description: Welcome to the final Triple Point™ Podcast of the year. And what a year it's been! If you didn't get a chance to listen to our monthly episodes in 2023, this 90-minute episode will get you fully caught up on all the insights you missed, hear some bold predictions and career advice for up and coming leaders, and best of all, end the year sharing some of the hilarious Triple Point™ outtakes. We hope you have a safe and healthy holiday season and look forward to seeing you in 2024! Complete Show Notes Here --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Hosts: Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guest: Wayne MacKenzie, Program Manager, NOAA Technology Partnerships Office Description: NOAA’s Technology Partnerships Office serves the U.S. economy by transferring government-developed scientific and technological innovations to commercial applications, facilitating strategic public-private partnerships, and investing in small business research and development.  This multi-use technological development cycle maximizes the government’s original investment in addition to advancing NOAA’s operational missions.  NOAA’s Technology Transfer Program Manager, Wayne MacKenzie, joined The Triple Point™ to share more about NOAA intellectual property, patents, and the Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA) programs, and he also shared how his involvement in improv theater makes for more productive conversations, staff meetings, and life in general. Click here for complete show notes! --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Host: Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guest: Don Berchoff, CEO of TruWeather Solutions Description: Who pays attention to the weather when there is no pilot on board an aircraft? This is the situation for beyond visual line of site (BVLOS) unmanned aerial vehicles which fly without the world's best weather sensor, a pilot. Don Berchoff and the TruWeather team are delivering on a promise to reduce micro-weather uncertainty for Beyond Visual Line of Sight operations, with a focus on "over-the-horizon" hard-to-detect weather hazards. TruWeather’s efforts seek to replace the loss of the “human sensor”, the pilot, on board the aircraft and increase airframe revenue generation and effectiveness when weather is marginal for operations. In this episode, we unpack this wicked problem and create a few new weather conspiracy theories along the way. Click Here for Complete Show Notes --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Host: Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guest: Paul Walsh, CEO of Meteomatics N.A. Description: “There’s an amazing amount of unclaimed value in businesses bringing in weather and climate data.” That’s from Paul Walsh, CEO of Meteomatics N.A. and our most recent guest on the Triple Point™.  In order to create repeatable business revenue with weather and climate data, Paul also shares his recipe for success that has helped him throughout his fruitful weather business career: Know the weather, Make it actionable with the right analytics, and (most importantly) Integrate it into existing business decision systems.  Finally, we also learn how a vertically-integrated company like Meteomatics creates digital resilience and uses its data and api platform, high-resolution weather modeling, and unique vertical sounder (the Meteodrone) to create values for a wide array of businesses. The Triple Point™ Podcast Website: https://triplepointpodcast.com --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Host: Ryan Harris Guest: TC Moore (Owner of Atlantic States Weather) and Dan Schreiber (CCM at J.S. Held) Description: Billions of dollars in insurance and personal injury litigation cases get settled every year in the U.S.  In some of these cases, the weather can become a significant factor in proving or disproving damage, negligence, or possibly even fault.  In such cases, companies, lawyers, the insurance industry, or courts seek the expert advice of an American Meteorological Society Certified Consulting Meteorologist.  CCMs TC Moore and Dan Schreiber come on the show to discuss the CCM process and describe interesting and informative examples of how important forensic weather information can provide in these cases.  As weather-fueled events like the recent Maui wildfires continue, the need for honest, unbiased, and professional weather knowledge from qualified CCMs will always be valuable.  And it pays (literally) when agencies can proactively reach out to the CCM community ahead of time in the insurance and litigation process. For Complete Show Notes Click Here --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Hosts: Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guest: N/A Description: “Modern man talks of a battle with nature, forgetting that, if he won the battle, he would find himself on the losing side.” ~ E.F. Schumacher.  Mankind has a fascination with attempting to control nature to fit our way of life, whether well-intentioned or not.  It’s no different with the weather and climate.  And with climate warming continuing to accelerate and 2023 likely to be one of the warmest in recorded human history, the die is cast for the grandest of human experiments, even arguably beyond nuclear weapons.  This episode dives deep into the similar but different acts of weather modification and geoengineering.  We define the terms, discuss examples of active weather modification, debunk chemtrails, talk about proposed geoengineering research, and cover the three biggest reasons why we should be worried about a geoengineered world.  Who gets to decide when their part of the world is too dry, too wet, too hot?  Just add a few chemicals to our atmosphere, Earth’s chemotherapy, to control the thermostat, right?  What could go wrong? SHOW NOTES SUPPORT THE TRIPLE POINT™ PODCAST --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Hosts:  Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guests: Dr. Amy McGovern, Professor at University of Oklahoma Director, NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography & Senior Technical Staff Member Dr. John Williams, Head of Weather AI Sciences at The Weather Company, an IBM Business Description: Is Machine Learning coming for your job?  Will AI replace weather forecasters?  Unlikely in the near-term postulates our guests this month, Dr. Amy McGovern, who runs the National Science Foundation’s AI for Environmental Sciences (AI2ES) and Dr. John Williams, Head of Weather AI Sciences at The Weather Company, an IBM Business. But it should accelerate decision making and generally make our jobs easier by tipping and cueing forecasters. Amy and John speak of model hallucinations like the inaccuracies we see with ChatGPT, but both experts also marvel at the rapid inflection point we are in the midst of.  Learn what AI and Machine Learning do well for weather and climate prediction, where it’s lacking, and the promise of freeing forecasters and practitioners up to focus more on risk communication and individual-tailored predictions to better help society in the future.  It’s a fascinating episode you won’t want to miss. References: AI2ES Could AI become the world’s weatherman? (Fox News) AI is going to revolutionize the weather forecast (FreeThink) El Nino could make coffee, cookies, and chocolate more expensive (Time Magazine) El Nino rains intensify dengue outbreak in Peru (Reuters) Understanding El Nino (NOAA) Severe weather and heat turn out the lights in Oklahoma (The Oklahoman) IBM's The Weather Company Continues to Be the World's Most Accurate Forecaster Overall, Despite Growing Competition and Amid Weather's Increased Impact (IBM) Google's AI-enabled flood forecasting goes global (Axios) Find the complete show notes HERE. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message

Show Notes Hosts:  Jeff Cunningham and Ryan Harris Guests: Dr. Amy McGovern is a Lloyd G. and Joyce Austin Presidential Professor in the School of Computer Science and in the School of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. Dr McGovern is also the director of the NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography. Dr. John K. Williams is a Senior Technical Staff Member and Head of Weather AI Sciences at The Weather Company, an IBM Business where he leads a team of scientists and software engineers who use artificial intelligence and data science in conjunction with meteorological expertise to create and verify innovative state-of-the-art weather forecasts that routinely serve individuals and businesses around the globe, including via the Weather Channel mobile app and weather.com. Description: Is Machine Learning coming for your job?  Will AI replace weather forecasters?  Unlikely in the near-term postulates our guests this month, Dr. Amy McGovern, who runs the National Science Foundation’s AI for Environmental Sciences (AI2ES) and Dr. John Williams, Head of Weather AI Sciences at The Weather Company, an IBM Business. But it should accelerate decision making and generally make our jobs easier by tipping and cueing forecasters. Amy and John speak of model hallucinations like the inaccuracies we see with ChatGPT, but both experts also marvel at the rapid inflection point we are in the midst of.  Learn what AI and Machine Learning do well for weather and climate prediction, where it’s lacking, and the promise of freeing forecasters and practitioners up to focus more on risk communication and individual-tailored predictions to better help society in the future.  It’s a fascinating episode you won’t want to miss. For Access to Part II of our discussion with Amy and John, Subscribe to The Triple Point Newsletter and Podcast for Free HERE. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/triplepoint/message