The Transfer Flow Podcast
The Transfer Flow Podcast
Theodore Knutson
Transfer and team analysis, plus interviews with some of the best in the football business.
Episode 229 - The Premier League Table is LYING
Patrick and Ted go through the Premier League weekend and ask which teams should be worried, and where the table is hiding what the numbers say. They cover Newcastle, Crystal Palace, Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, Man United and Chelsea, plus Brighton's numbers and the inside cross trend Ted is seeing in the weekly roundup. Subscribe to the Transfer Flow newsletter and Variance Betting, and catch more on Patreon. Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro 00:37 – Weekend reaction: what's changed after six games? 02:06 – Who should be worried? Newcastle's table position vs the numbers 07:11 – Crystal Palace's rough weekend, and Brighton's numbers 12:02 – Nottingham Forest's defence 13:24 – Arsenal scrape past Forest 18:07 – Man City: 21 points from 7 games, and the defence 21:34 – Liverpool: the defence, Isak and the shot quality 25:16 – The inside cross: a growing way of creating chances 31:32 – More Liverpool: the attacking signs 33:04 – Man United: winless in the league, 7 points vs Brighton's 16 37:35 – Chelsea beat Everton, but how much can we read into it? 40:20 – Fulham, and how little we know about these teams yet 42:06 – Midweek Champions League preview 43:14 – Which Witch? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 19
48 min
Episode 228 - Madrid Escape, City Get Exposed, and Barcelona Look Special
Real Madrid were 3-1 down in the 83rd minute and won 4-3 on three corners in seven minutes. Nobody should be convinced. Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to break down a chaotic UEFA Champions League week: Real Madrid’s escape against Roma, PSG exposing Man City’s pressing, Man United’s loss to Atletico Madrid, Barcelona’s attack led by Lamine Yamal, and Viking’s 3-3 draw with Bayern Munich. Over on Patreon, we look at the surprising teams near the top of the Premier League: Brentford, Brighton and Everton. Check out Which Witch? on Kickstarter!: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/curiouslynxgames/which-witch Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps: 0:00 – Intro 0:50 – Real Madrid vs Roma: A Comeback That Hides Problems 5:49 – Real Madrid’s Left Flank Bias 14:32 – PSG vs Man City: Can City Press? 26:07 – Atletico Madrid vs Man United 32:10 – Barcelona, Lamine Yamal and Pedri 39:02 – Viking vs Bayern Munich #championsleague #ucl #realmadrid #manchestercity #mancity #barca #barcelona #barcelonafc #manchesterunited #manunited #psg #premierleague #football #soccer #footballpodcast #foryou #fyp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 15
51 min
Episode 227 - Carrick Is Taking Manchester United Backwards + Man City Beat Liverpool, But Did Anything Matter?
Manchester City beat Liverpool, but did anything about it matter? Patrick and Neel review the weekend in the Premier League and La Liga. They start with City’s win at Anfield, Haaland’s new Abu Dhabi house and the siege mentality around the club, then ask whether Liverpool’s midfield balance and Florian Wirtz’s role are fixable. Then they turn to Manchester United’s draw with Spurs. Why do Carrick’s United keep falling for the same pressing trap, and can they create anything against a low block? Plus: whether De Zerbi’s patterns are anywhere to be seen, Mourinho’s struggling Real Madrid, and Chelsea and Fulham. Wirtz Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-florian-wirtz-dilemma Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps 00:00 – Intro 00:29 – Welcome and Weekend Overview 01:20 – Man City vs Liverpool Reaction 01:26 – Haaland’s New Abu Dhabi House 04:35 – Did Anything Matter? City Fans and the Siege Mentality 12:26 – Liverpool After the Red Card 17:29 – Is Wirtz the Problem? 23:02 – Man United vs Spurs 24:28 – Carrick’s United and the Pressing Trap 30:36 – Spurs’ Attacking Problem 32:31 – At Least Amorim Had a Plan 34:06 – Is Carrick’s Stock Falling? 35:32 – De Zerbi’s Spurs: Where Are the Patterns? 40:12 – Real Madrid vs Villarreal 41:30 – Vinicius and the Hair Pull 43:38 – Why Mourinho’s Real Madrid Don’t Work 48:55 – Freedom vs Structure: PSG and Man City 51:54 – Chelsea, Bournemouth and Fulham 58:13 – Outro #manchesterunited #premierleague #manchestercity #mancity #liverpool #manunited #manutd #epl #chelsea #realmadrid #bournemouth #vinicius #football #footballpodcast #soccer #foryou #fyp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 12
1 hr 3 min
Episode 226 - Cristiano Ronaldo HAS to Be Done With Portugal After This
Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of Portugal camp after being an unused sub against Norway, and Portugal won all their games under Jorge Jesus anyway. Patrick and Neel break down the Ronaldo fallout, first looks at France under Zidane and Germany under Klopp, and the chaos of AFCON qualifying, where Ghana and Nigeria are in serious trouble. In this episode: · Portugal's four wins under Jorge Jesus and what the numbers say · Ronaldo's walkout, his statement and whether he can be reintegrated · Zidane's France: a slow start, the Belgium comeback and a more aggressive approach · Klopp's Germany: two near-separate squads and over 40 players used · AFCON 2027 qualifying: the CAF format, Nigeria, Ghana and the host nations Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro 00:33 – Welcome and what's coming up 01:04 – Newsletter plug 03:00 – Portugal on the pitch under Jorge Jesus 03:36 – Jesus's career and tactical approach 06:02 – Why the Ronaldo clash was always on the cards 10:29 – The walkout and Ronaldo's statement 13:01 – Can Ronaldo be reintegrated? 17:27 – France under Zidane 29:35 – Germany under Klopp 32:59 – AFCON qualifying 33:53 – The CAF format explained 34:53 – Nigeria's struggles 40:46 – Host nations and stadium concerns #ronaldo #cr7 #portugal #football #soccer #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #zidane #france #germany #klopp #podcast #foryou #fyp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 8
46 min
Episode 225 - Why the Premier League HAS to Kick Out Man City
Ted is back from holiday to give his full take on the Manchester City charges: what punishment actually makes sense, whether titles can be undone, and why the appeal's central defense doesn't hold up. They also run the fantasy logistics of an actual City squad auction. Then they turn to the Premier League as it resumes: hot seats for Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi, Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers, Florian Wirtz's rocky start at Liverpool, what Alonso is building at Chelsea, and growing noise around Michael Carrick's job. They close with the players they're most excited about: Alexander Isak, Charalampos Kostoulas, and Brighton's latest veteran reclamation project. Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro 01:44 – The crime wasn't spending money, it was how they fought the charges 10:12 – The philosophy of punishment: can any of this actually be undone? 17:25 – Ted's case for expelling City from the Premier League and EFL entirely 20:29 – The fantasy auction: redistributing City's squad across Europe 28:38 – Appeal update, and why the Abu Dhabi funding defense doesn't hold up 32:21 – What they actually think will happen next 34:51 – Moving on to the Premier League proper 35:16 – Hot seats: Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi under pressure 37:06 – Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers and shrinking margin for error 41:06 – Florian Wirtz, his struggles at Liverpool, and the Naby Keita comparison 44:50 – Chelsea: what is Alonso actually trying to build? 45:27 – Michael Carrick, Man United, and the Antonio Conte speculation 48:32 – Aston Villa's alarming numbers across the board 51:06 – Breakout watch: Alexander Isak, Kostoulas, and Brighton's "rejuvenation machine" #mancity #premierleague #manchestercity #epl #114 #haaland #efl #pepguardiola #mcfc #football #footballplayer #soccer #soccerpodcast #footballanalysis #podcast #fyp #foryou Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 5
57 min
Episode 224 - Roma, Dortmund and Lazio: Contenders or Pretenders?
Are Borussia Dortmund, Roma and Lazio genuine contenders or early season pretenders? Patrick and Hayden dig into the numbers behind three overlooked sides making noise around Europe. Dortmund are top of the Bundesliga with four wins from four, but do they have the quality to challenge Bayern? Roma lead Serie A with the best goal difference after five games, so what are they doing differently, and where could they strengthen to catch Inter? And Lazio have started well on the pitch under Gattuso while their fans boycott home games, so how much of that start is sustainable? Over on Patreon this week: top wingers who haven't hit their level yet. Sign up for a bonus episode every week plus behind the scenes footage. Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro 03:14 – Lazio: Gattuso, the Fan Boycott and a Hot Start 05:12 – Lazio's Summer Window and Overperformance 07:09 – Can Lazio's High Press Last? 15:46 – Dortmund: Top of the Bundesliga 19:00 – Dortmund vs Bayern: What the Numbers Say 25:11 – Dortmund's Ceiling Raisers and Young Players 26:34 – Roma: Top of Serie A 29:04 – Roma: The Most Legit Title Contender 38:13 – Roma's Champions League Test 42:25 – Outro #football #bundesliga #seriea #lazio #roma #dortmund #borussiadortmund #soccer #footballanalysis #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 1
46 min
Episode 223 - Man City Reportedly Guilty on 114 Charges: What Should Happen Next?
Man City have reportedly been found guilty on 114 of 115 charges. The verdict hasn't been officially announced, but the reports point to a punishment that could reshape the Premier League. Patrick and Neel break down what comes next. In this episode: · What the charges cover and why the obstruction charges may be the hardest to deny · How the case compares with Everton, Chelsea, Derby, Calciopoli and a Belarusian title scandal · Why City can't go to CAS, and how the appeal timeline works · Points deductions, fines, compensation claims and what the hosts think should happen · How the UAE and UK politics could complicate the punishment · Why the "red cartel" defense doesn't hold up Then we turn to PSG, sixth in Ligue 1 after a slow start. Is it the usual early-season wobble or something more serious? We look at the pressing problems, the transfer window and what the numbers say. Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps 00:00 – Intro 01:41 – Man City Reportedly Found Guilty: The Charges Explained 03:12 – Where Do We Start? Points, Fines and the Title Question 05:33 – Precedents: Everton, Derby and Calciopoli 08:06 – Chelsea Self-Reported, City Didn't 11:05 – Staggered Points Deductions: The Belarus Example 15:05 – Relegation Clauses and Selling Assets 17:48 – The Lawyers Behind the Case 19:07 – Appeals, Panels and the Timeline 20:58 – The UAE, the UK Government and Scorched Earth 24:01 – What Should Happen to Man City? 30:35 – The "Red Cartel" Defence 34:24 – City Players Under Scrutiny and a Haaland Joke 35:32 – Mancini, Guardiola's Brother and Other Red Flags 37:13 – PSG: Why Are They Sixth in Ligue 1? 38:09 – PSG's Defensive and Pressing Problems 39:46 – PSG's Transfer Window 42:07 – Ferran Torres and the Attacking Revamp 44:27 – Is PSG's Slow Start a Real Problem? 48:53 – What's Next: Roma and India vs Brazil 49:36 – Outro Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 28
53 min
Episode 222 - The Biggest Surprises of the Premier League (So Far)
The international break has given us just enough games to start drawing real conclusions. Patrick and Hayden dig into the Premier League's biggest early surprises: Liverpool's Isak-dependent attack and Iraola's low-block problem, Newcastle's teething issues as they try to build a possession identity under Jaissle, and Brian Brobbey's remarkable start at Sunderland, including his hat-trick against Manchester City. Plus, on Patreon this week: Chelsea's strange approach under Alonso, Aston Villa's early struggles, and another big Premier League striker. Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ 0:00 – Intro 1:06 – Liverpool: Isak Carrying the Goals, Can They Break Down Low Blocks? 18:21 – Newcastle: Growing Pains Under a New Possession Identity 29:41 – Brian Brobbey: Sunderland's Breakout Striker 38:28 – Patreon Preview (Chelsea, Aston Villa) + International Break Chat Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 24
44 min
Episode 221 - Did Brighton's Press Finally Crack Arsenal's Defense?
Man City stay perfect with a 5-3 win over Sunderland, but they conceded 3.6 xG, their worst defensive game in over a decade. We break down whether Maresca's expansive approach is a fixable balance issue or a real problem. Arsenal get thumped 3-0 at Brighton, and we dig into whether the press actually cracked their defense or exposed something else. Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico, and Mourinho's project looks shakier than ever. Plus Leeds and Brentford quick hits, Chelsea's midfield mess, and our verdict on Tottenham vs Man United: who should actually be more worried? Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro 00:29 – Welcome and banter 01:34 – Man City survive Sunderland 5-3, but the numbers are ugly 12:03 – Arsenal thumped 3-0 at Brighton 24:30 – Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico 34:57 – Leeds and Brentford quick hits 36:33 – Chelsea's midfield problem 41:07 – Tottenham or Man United: who should panic more? 49:47 – Outro #premierleague #arsenal #manchestercity #manchesterunited #tottenham #realmadrid #atleticomadrid #chelsea #football #soccer #fyp #foryou #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 21
53 min
Episode 220 - The 6 Best Transfers You Missed This Summer
The best transfers you haven't heard about from the summer. Patrick and Neel each bring three under the radar signings, from young wingers hoping to break into the Bundesliga to a PSG cast off who could be one of the best value moves of the window. Sign up for our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/season-previews Use code "TTF26" for 26% off your first month of Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 – Introduction 01:53 – Leo Sauer to Stuttgart 09:00 – Afonso Moreira to Bayer Leverkusen 16:43 – Rocco Reitz to RB Leipzig 23:08 – Lee Kang-in to Atletico Madrid 29:47 – Franjo Ivanovic to Lens 36:09 – Troy Parrott to Real Betis 40:09 – Neel's Writing and Upcoming Transfer Grades 42:13 – Outro Want more from us Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 17
45 min
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