
Patrick and Ted go through the Premier League weekend and ask which teams should be worried, and where the table is hiding what the numbers say.
They cover Newcastle, Crystal Palace, Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, Man United and Chelsea, plus Brighton's numbers and the inside cross trend Ted is seeing in the weekly roundup.
Subscribe to the Transfer Flow newsletter and Variance Betting, and catch more on Patreon.
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:37 – Weekend reaction: what's changed after six games?
02:06 – Who should be worried? Newcastle's table position vs the numbers
07:11 – Crystal Palace's rough weekend, and Brighton's numbers
12:02 – Nottingham Forest's defence
13:24 – Arsenal scrape past Forest
18:07 – Man City: 21 points from 7 games, and the defence
21:34 – Liverpool: the defence, Isak and the shot quality
25:16 – The inside cross: a growing way of creating chances
31:32 – More Liverpool: the attacking signs
33:04 – Man United: winless in the league, 7 points vs Brighton's 16
37:35 – Chelsea beat Everton, but how much can we read into it?
40:20 – Fulham, and how little we know about these teams yet
42:06 – Midweek Champions League preview
43:14 – Which Witch?
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Oct 19
48 min

Real Madrid were 3-1 down in the 83rd minute and won 4-3 on three corners in seven minutes. Nobody should be convinced.
Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to break down a chaotic UEFA Champions League week: Real Madrid’s escape against Roma, PSG exposing Man City’s pressing, Man United’s loss to Atletico Madrid, Barcelona’s attack led by Lamine Yamal, and Viking’s 3-3 draw with Bayern Munich.
Over on Patreon, we look at the surprising teams near the top of the Premier League: Brentford, Brighton and Everton.
Check out Which Witch? on Kickstarter!: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/curiouslynxgames/which-witch
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Timestamps:
0:00 – Intro
0:50 – Real Madrid vs Roma: A Comeback That Hides Problems
5:49 – Real Madrid’s Left Flank Bias
14:32 – PSG vs Man City: Can City Press?
26:07 – Atletico Madrid vs Man United
32:10 – Barcelona, Lamine Yamal and Pedri
39:02 – Viking vs Bayern Munich
#championsleague #ucl #realmadrid #manchestercity #mancity #barca #barcelona #barcelonafc #manchesterunited #manunited #psg #premierleague #football #soccer #footballpodcast #foryou #fyp
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Oct 15
51 min

Manchester City beat Liverpool, but did anything about it matter? Patrick and Neel review the weekend in the Premier League and La Liga.
They start with City’s win at Anfield, Haaland’s new Abu Dhabi house and the siege mentality around the club, then ask whether Liverpool’s midfield balance and Florian Wirtz’s role are fixable.
Then they turn to Manchester United’s draw with Spurs. Why do Carrick’s United keep falling for the same pressing trap, and can they create anything against a low block? Plus: whether De Zerbi’s patterns are anywhere to be seen, Mourinho’s struggling Real Madrid, and Chelsea and Fulham.
Wirtz Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-florian-wirtz-dilemma
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Timestamps
00:00 – Intro
00:29 – Welcome and Weekend Overview
01:20 – Man City vs Liverpool Reaction
01:26 – Haaland’s New Abu Dhabi House
04:35 – Did Anything Matter? City Fans and the Siege Mentality
12:26 – Liverpool After the Red Card
17:29 – Is Wirtz the Problem?
23:02 – Man United vs Spurs
24:28 – Carrick’s United and the Pressing Trap
30:36 – Spurs’ Attacking Problem
32:31 – At Least Amorim Had a Plan
34:06 – Is Carrick’s Stock Falling?
35:32 – De Zerbi’s Spurs: Where Are the Patterns?
40:12 – Real Madrid vs Villarreal
41:30 – Vinicius and the Hair Pull
43:38 – Why Mourinho’s Real Madrid Don’t Work
48:55 – Freedom vs Structure: PSG and Man City
51:54 – Chelsea, Bournemouth and Fulham
58:13 – Outro
#manchesterunited #premierleague #manchestercity #mancity #liverpool #manunited #manutd #epl #chelsea #realmadrid #bournemouth #vinicius #football #footballpodcast #soccer #foryou #fyp
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Oct 12
1 hr 3 min

Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of Portugal camp after being an unused sub against Norway, and Portugal won all their games under Jorge Jesus anyway. Patrick and Neel break down the Ronaldo fallout, first looks at France under Zidane and Germany under Klopp, and the chaos of AFCON qualifying, where Ghana and Nigeria are in serious trouble.
In this episode:
· Portugal's four wins under Jorge Jesus and what the numbers say
· Ronaldo's walkout, his statement and whether he can be reintegrated
· Zidane's France: a slow start, the Belgium comeback and a more aggressive approach
· Klopp's Germany: two near-separate squads and over 40 players used
· AFCON 2027 qualifying: the CAF format, Nigeria, Ghana and the host nations
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:33 – Welcome and what's coming up
01:04 – Newsletter plug
03:00 – Portugal on the pitch under Jorge Jesus
03:36 – Jesus's career and tactical approach
06:02 – Why the Ronaldo clash was always on the cards
10:29 – The walkout and Ronaldo's statement
13:01 – Can Ronaldo be reintegrated?
17:27 – France under Zidane
29:35 – Germany under Klopp
32:59 – AFCON qualifying
33:53 – The CAF format explained
34:53 – Nigeria's struggles
40:46 – Host nations and stadium concerns
#ronaldo #cr7 #portugal #football #soccer #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #zidane #france #germany #klopp #podcast #foryou #fyp
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Oct 8
46 min

Ted is back from holiday to give his full take on the Manchester City charges: what punishment actually makes sense, whether titles can be undone, and why the appeal's central defense doesn't hold up. They also run the fantasy logistics of an actual City squad auction.
Then they turn to the Premier League as it resumes: hot seats for Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi, Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers, Florian Wirtz's rocky start at Liverpool, what Alonso is building at Chelsea, and growing noise around Michael Carrick's job. They close with the players they're most excited about: Alexander Isak, Charalampos Kostoulas, and Brighton's latest veteran reclamation project.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:44 – The crime wasn't spending money, it was how they fought the charges
10:12 – The philosophy of punishment: can any of this actually be undone?
17:25 – Ted's case for expelling City from the Premier League and EFL entirely
20:29 – The fantasy auction: redistributing City's squad across Europe
28:38 – Appeal update, and why the Abu Dhabi funding defense doesn't hold up
32:21 – What they actually think will happen next
34:51 – Moving on to the Premier League proper
35:16 – Hot seats: Pierre Sage and Roberto De Zerbi under pressure
37:06 – Crystal Palace's ugly underlying numbers and shrinking margin for error
41:06 – Florian Wirtz, his struggles at Liverpool, and the Naby Keita comparison
44:50 – Chelsea: what is Alonso actually trying to build?
45:27 – Michael Carrick, Man United, and the Antonio Conte speculation
48:32 – Aston Villa's alarming numbers across the board
51:06 – Breakout watch: Alexander Isak, Kostoulas, and Brighton's "rejuvenation machine"
#mancity #premierleague #manchestercity #epl #114 #haaland #efl #pepguardiola #mcfc #football #footballplayer #soccer #soccerpodcast #footballanalysis #podcast #fyp #foryou
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Oct 5
57 min

Are Borussia Dortmund, Roma and Lazio genuine contenders or early season pretenders? Patrick and Hayden dig into the numbers behind three overlooked sides making noise around Europe.
Dortmund are top of the Bundesliga with four wins from four, but do they have the quality to challenge Bayern? Roma lead Serie A with the best goal difference after five games, so what are they doing differently, and where could they strengthen to catch Inter? And Lazio have started well on the pitch under Gattuso while their fans boycott home games, so how much of that start is sustainable?
Over on Patreon this week: top wingers who haven't hit their level yet. Sign up for a bonus episode every week plus behind the scenes footage.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
03:14 – Lazio: Gattuso, the Fan Boycott and a Hot Start
05:12 – Lazio's Summer Window and Overperformance
07:09 – Can Lazio's High Press Last?
15:46 – Dortmund: Top of the Bundesliga
19:00 – Dortmund vs Bayern: What the Numbers Say
25:11 – Dortmund's Ceiling Raisers and Young Players
26:34 – Roma: Top of Serie A
29:04 – Roma: The Most Legit Title Contender
38:13 – Roma's Champions League Test
42:25 – Outro
#football #bundesliga #seriea #lazio #roma #dortmund #borussiadortmund #soccer #footballanalysis #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast
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Oct 1
46 min

Man City have reportedly been found guilty on 114 of 115 charges. The verdict hasn't been officially announced, but the reports point to a punishment that could reshape the Premier League. Patrick and Neel break down what comes next.
In this episode:
· What the charges cover and why the obstruction charges may be the hardest to deny
· How the case compares with Everton, Chelsea, Derby, Calciopoli and a Belarusian title scandal
· Why City can't go to CAS, and how the appeal timeline works
· Points deductions, fines, compensation claims and what the hosts think should happen
· How the UAE and UK politics could complicate the punishment
· Why the "red cartel" defense doesn't hold up
Then we turn to PSG, sixth in Ligue 1 after a slow start. Is it the usual early-season wobble or something more serious? We look at the pressing problems, the transfer window and what the numbers say.
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Timestamps
00:00 – Intro
01:41 – Man City Reportedly Found Guilty: The Charges Explained
03:12 – Where Do We Start? Points, Fines and the Title Question
05:33 – Precedents: Everton, Derby and Calciopoli
08:06 – Chelsea Self-Reported, City Didn't
11:05 – Staggered Points Deductions: The Belarus Example
15:05 – Relegation Clauses and Selling Assets
17:48 – The Lawyers Behind the Case
19:07 – Appeals, Panels and the Timeline
20:58 – The UAE, the UK Government and Scorched Earth
24:01 – What Should Happen to Man City?
30:35 – The "Red Cartel" Defence
34:24 – City Players Under Scrutiny and a Haaland Joke
35:32 – Mancini, Guardiola's Brother and Other Red Flags
37:13 – PSG: Why Are They Sixth in Ligue 1?
38:09 – PSG's Defensive and Pressing Problems
39:46 – PSG's Transfer Window
42:07 – Ferran Torres and the Attacking Revamp
44:27 – Is PSG's Slow Start a Real Problem?
48:53 – What's Next: Roma and India vs Brazil
49:36 – Outro
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Sep 28
53 min

The international break has given us just enough games to start drawing real conclusions. Patrick and Hayden dig into the Premier League's biggest early surprises: Liverpool's Isak-dependent attack and Iraola's low-block problem, Newcastle's teething issues as they try to build a possession identity under Jaissle, and Brian Brobbey's remarkable start at Sunderland, including his hat-trick against Manchester City.
Plus, on Patreon this week: Chelsea's strange approach under Alonso, Aston Villa's early struggles, and another big Premier League striker.
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0:00 – Intro
1:06 – Liverpool: Isak Carrying the Goals, Can They Break Down Low Blocks?
18:21 – Newcastle: Growing Pains Under a New Possession Identity
29:41 – Brian Brobbey: Sunderland's Breakout Striker
38:28 – Patreon Preview (Chelsea, Aston Villa) + International Break Chat
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Sep 24
44 min

Man City stay perfect with a 5-3 win over Sunderland, but they conceded 3.6 xG, their worst defensive game in over a decade. We break down whether Maresca's expansive approach is a fixable balance issue or a real problem. Arsenal get thumped 3-0 at Brighton, and we dig into whether the press actually cracked their defense or exposed something else. Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico, and Mourinho's project looks shakier than ever. Plus Leeds and Brentford quick hits, Chelsea's midfield mess, and our verdict on Tottenham vs Man United: who should actually be more worried?
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
00:29 – Welcome and banter
01:34 – Man City survive Sunderland 5-3, but the numbers are ugly
12:03 – Arsenal thumped 3-0 at Brighton
24:30 – Real Madrid lose the Madrid derby to Atletico
34:57 – Leeds and Brentford quick hits
36:33 – Chelsea's midfield problem
41:07 – Tottenham or Man United: who should panic more?
49:47 – Outro
#premierleague #arsenal #manchestercity #manchesterunited #tottenham #realmadrid #atleticomadrid #chelsea #football #soccer #fyp #foryou #footballpodcast #soccerpodcast #podcast
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Sep 21
53 min

The best transfers you haven't heard about from the summer. Patrick and Neel each bring three under the radar signings, from young wingers hoping to break into the Bundesliga to a PSG cast off who could be one of the best value moves of the window.
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Timestamps:
00:00 – Introduction
01:53 – Leo Sauer to Stuttgart
09:00 – Afonso Moreira to Bayer Leverkusen
16:43 – Rocco Reitz to RB Leipzig
23:08 – Lee Kang-in to Atletico Madrid
29:47 – Franjo Ivanovic to Lens
36:09 – Troy Parrott to Real Betis
40:09 – Neel's Writing and Upcoming Transfer Grades
42:13 – Outro
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Sep 17
45 min
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