The Prediction Trade
The Prediction Trade
Luckbox Magazine
If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade! Whether it’s sports, politics, financial markets, weather, the economy or pop culture, you’re only a few clicks away from placing legal wagers on all sorts of events and outcomes. The Prediction Trade lives at the intersection of probability, prediction and profit. We take a stats- and facts-based approach to wagering and trading in the prediction markets. Each episode features pros from the prediction trade: gamblers, traders, investors, data freaks, probability geeks and super-forecasters. We also introduce experts with proprietary forecasting models and insights into the outcomes of prediction market events. Whether you live to bet or bet to live, join us for the next episode of The Prediction Trade. Brought to you by the editorial team behind the award-winning Luckbox magazine.
Midterm Forecasts: Can Bitecofer Best Her Last Bets? (#63)
Two years after her first appearance on The Prediction Trade, political strategist Rachel Bitecofer has returned to build on her previous appearance’s success. It’s a high bar. Last time, she correctly handicapped 10 contentious markets ahead of the 2020 election. On this appearance, Rachel takes a look at the Pennsylvania and Arizona Senate elections, House and Senate control after the midterms, and who will win the Los Angeles mayoral election. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Aug 25, 2022
46 min
This Part-time (Profitable) Political Trader Shares His Midterm Bets (#62)
How do you make six figures trading in prediction markets? SXSW’s Brett Cannon knows, and in this episode of The Prediction Trade he shares the market bets he’s currently making on PredictIt. From Marco Rubio’s Senate race and Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking Senate votes to whether Donald Trump will file for president before 2023, Brett shares his strategies across a variety of market topics. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Aug 18, 2022
30 min
What’s Next for Stocks and Some Midterm Locks (#61)
In three compelling trade ideas—one lock, one longshot and one even-money bet—Garrett Baldwin covers student loan debt, Dr. Oz’s Pennsylvania Senate race and overall Senate control after the midterms. Plus, he calls upon his expertise as an economist to share his take on what’s going on in the stock market. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jul 28, 2022
44 min
Balls, Strikes and Interest Rate Hikes (#60)
When he’s on the air for tastytrade, Jermal Chandler shares his insights about options, equity markets, interest rates and the economy. When he joins the crew on The Prediction Trade, his baseball-betting side comes out. Jermal predicts the 2022 World Series matchup, winners in all six MLB divisions and both league MVPs. But before he talks baseball, he shares his thoughts on several Kalshi prediction markets, including when high inflation will end, how many Fed rate hikes will come in 2022 and whether or not a recession is coming. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jul 14, 2022
44 min
Crypto Regulation and Education Legislation (#59)
Cryptocurrency regulation is a hot-button issue—one that Mike Frisch knows a lot about. He spent five years as a CFTC trial attorney and now specializes in cryptocurrency, digital assets and Web3 as partner of the Croke Fairchild Morgan and Beres law firm. Mike weighs in on the state of crypto currently, and how it may be regulated in the future. He also dives into the prediction markets of Kalshi and PredictIt to talk about student loan forgiveness, Build Back Better, the Illinois gubernatorial race and 2024. Mike Frisch’s comments are neither legal advice nor investment advice. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine.  Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF  TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jul 7, 2022
45 min
Crude Oil, Gross Domestic Product, and Rates (#58)
After an impressive first appearance, Victor Jones, host of tastytrade’s Jones and Friends, returns to The Prediction Trade with more markets to forecast. From mortgage rates to Fed interest rates, oil prices to gasoline prices, and the U.S. GDP, Victor makes calls in them all. Plus, he updates the market calls he made in his previous appearance. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine.  Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF   TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jun 30, 2022
38 min
Voting Blocs and October Shocks (#57)
Lloyd Green knows what makes or breaks elections. Formerly serving as opposition research counsel to the ‘88 George H.W. Bush campaign, the political columnist for The Guardian and The Daily Beast joins the team at The Prediction Trade to talk about the 2022 midterms and their respective prediction markets on PredictIt. Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Georgia take center stage, but Lloyd also shares his analysis for the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee market. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine.  Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF  TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jun 23, 2022
56 min
Crypto, Weed, GDP & the GOP (feat. Victor Jones) (#56)
Victor Jones is known for hosting tastytrade’s Jones and Friends, but he’s lending his markets and investing expertise to The Prediction Trade for this special episode. A longtime prediction market trader himself, Victor has strong opinions about a variety of topics, and he shares them all. Kalshi’s interest rates and GDP markets, and PredictIt’s House control and presidential nominee markets take center stage, and there’s plenty of lockbox and longshot trades to go around. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine.  Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF  TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jun 16, 2022
51 min
The US Open & the 2024 Presidential Race (#55)
Politics and golf go hand-in-hand in this special episode of TPT. Professional gambler Paul Krishnamurty, of BetOnline, shares his golf-betting expertise to handicap the PGA Tour’s U.S. Open. But golf isn’t Paul’s only specialty. As a political junkie, he also shares his bets for the 2024 presidential nominees and whether or not Boris Johnson will remain in office for the rest of the year. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jun 9, 2022
53 min
Ether, Altcoins & Student Debt Bets (#54)
The crypto crash will eventually come to an end, says Iceberg Capital Group’s portfolio manager Jake Weinig. When it does, the big winners will be the coins that have innovative underlying technology. In this second installment of TPT’s crypto coverage, Jake shares which coins are in his hedge fund’s portfolio—and why crypto investors should consider buying them too. Plus, the crew makes bets in the student loan markets on Kalshi. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine.  Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT  Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com  Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20  Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade  FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade  YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF  TPT’s theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death) See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
May 26, 2022
49 min
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