The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Monday - August 3, 2026
15 minutes Posted Aug 3, 2026 at 9:40 pm.
Welcome and Setup
July Market Recap
Monday Rally Snapshot
Big Tech Capex Questions
Iran Headlines and Oil
Washington Policy Update
GDP and ISM Readouts
Rates and Housing Impact
Fed Chair and Yen Move
Energy and Midstream Returns
Wrap Up and Next Episode
Disclosures and Disclaimers
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15:17
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4yUosr7
David Bahnsen reviews a “bizarre” July in which long-term yields rose, the Iran ceasefire/MOU collapsed, semiconductors fell sharply, and the yen hit multi-decade lows—yet the S&P 500 finished flat with improved breadth—and notes a strong early-August rally led by mega-cap tech while oil fell and energy dipped. He highlights massive hyperscaler capital expenditures and the key market questions around ROI, timing, financing, and systemic exposure. Bahnsen discusses shifting Iran headlines, policy items including the Todd Blanche AG nomination, the low odds of the Save Act and another reconciliation bill, Michigan’s Senate primary dynamics, and a multi-state lawsuit over Section 301 tariff rationale. He covers Q2 real GDP at 1.5%, stronger July ISM manufacturing, elevated mortgage rates, Fed chair Warsh and balance-sheet effects, Treasury’s reported yen buying, and midstream/MLP performance.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com