The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Monday - March 9, 2026
16 minutes Posted Mar 9, 2026 at 9:12 pm.
Volatility Backdrop
Wild Market Reversal
Oil Spike Explained
Ignore The Noise
Rates Sectors Breadth
Backwardation Signals
War Timeline Shipping
Policy Risks Oil
Jobs Report Shock
Energy CPI Outlook
Wrap Up Stand Pat
0:00
16:03
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4lfOy1s
The episode reviews continued heightened, two-way intraday market volatility tied to the Iran military operation, highlighted by a Dow swing from sharply down to closing up over 200 points and oil’s brief spike near $115 before falling back to about $83–$84 after comments that the war may be nearly over. David argues these violent moves reflect short-term trading, hedging, and speculation, and advises long-term investors to avoid reacting. He notes the 10-year yield fell to about 4.1%, technology led while financials lagged, and last week’s index declines were modest despite some weak breadth. He discusses oil and VIX backwardation, shipping/insurance uncertainties in the Strait, debate over targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, and risks of bad policy if oil rises. Bahnsen also cites a “horrific” jobs report with unemployment at 4.4% and significant job losses and revisions, and previews CPI Wednesday.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com