The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Iran, Oil, and Markets
22 minutes Posted Mar 6, 2026 at 5:47 pm.
Welcome From Nashville
War And Investor Lens
Market Drop Versus Volatility
Fog Of War Uncertainty
Oil Shock And Backwardation
Shipping Metals And Gas
Political Ripple Effects
What Investors Should Do
Closing Thoughts And Prayer
0:00
22:16
Download MP3
Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/46HCMXH
From Nashville, Dividend Cafe host David Bahnsen discusses investor implications of the U.S. military operation that began in Iran, emphasizing the discomfort of analyzing markets amid potential casualties. He notes the Dow is down about 3% on the week but highlights extreme intraday volatility as a sign of uncertainty rather than news-driven moves. Bahnsen argues the key market driver is oil: WTI has surged into the 90s, up over 32% in a week, while futures show backwardation implying a temporary shock. He cites knock-on effects including higher shipping costs, sidelined container ships in the Persian Gulf, and aluminum at four-year highs. Political ramifications could affect markets via midterm outcomes. He advises investors not to change asset allocation or trade the “fog of war,” expecting volatility to persist while focusing on long-term dividend compounding.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com