Kris Parag is here to teach us about the mathematical modeling of

infectious disease epidemics. We discuss the SIR model, the renewal models, and howinsights from information theory can help us predict where an epidemic isgoing.

Links:

• Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation (KV Parag, CA Donnelly)
• Adaptive Estimation for Epidemic Renewal and Phylogenetic Skyline Models (KV Parag, CA Donnelly)
• The listener survey