A track from my new series (https://soundcloud.com/mikesnotes).

Different episode, the type I'm more likely to do. The full notes for this episode and explanation are at https://medium.com/mikes-mental-models.

What are base rates and why are they so dang helpful? With a soundtrack from Meghan Trainor, quotes from Bill Simmons, and a framework from Daniel Kahneman we'll talk about making better decisions.

In what ways can we install or remove small barriers to add friction or "grease the skids" for the important things in life.

The lock that blocks the room of alternative histories.

We use examples from Dan Carlin to talk more about Chesterton fences, the literate filter, and opportunity costs. Music by BenSounds.com

Music from BenSounds.com POTRT is a tool to kickstart our thinking, to get us to disect intractable problems and to get past the availability bias.

What are the 3 "filters against folly" and how can we use them as a mental model? Music from BenSound.com

Looking wide at the other possible outcomes.

Gordian knots and Chesterton fences are two ends of one model for how to make decisions based on the history of a situation. Music from BenSound.com