
In real terms, house prices in the UK have risen considerably over the past several decades, particularly when compared to average incomes. This not only affects the ability of first-time buyers to get on the property ladder, but impacts consumer spending and other aspects of the economy. In this episode of the Marginal Babble Podcast, I sit down with Professor David Miles CBE to discuss real house price inflation and the role interest rates are playing in this regard.
David is a professor of financial economics at Imperial university, has held the position of Chief UK Economist at both Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley investment banks and was a member of the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England from 2009 to 2015.
As ever, referenced research material is included below.
Enjoy!
Professor David Miles CBE:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/d.miles
References:
1) UK Interest Rate History / Graph & Facts, propertyinvestmentproject.co.uk, 2024
https://www.propertyinvestmentproject.co.uk/property-statistics/uk-interest-rate-history-graph/
2) Official Bank Rate history, Bank of England, 2024
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/Bank-Rate.asp
3) United Kingdom Historical Inflation Rates, inflationtool.com, 2024
https://www.inflationtool.com/rates/uk/historical
4) Gross domestic savings (% of GDP) – China, World Bank, 2024
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDS.TOTL.ZS?locations=CN
5) Countries in the world by population (2024), worldometers.info, 2024
https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/
6) Car parc in China from 2011 to 2022, Statista, 2024
https://www.statista.com/statistics/285306/number-of-car-owners-in-china/
7) UK house prices and three decades of decline in the risk‑free real
interest rate, David Miles & Victoria Monro, 2019
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2019/uk-house-prices-and-three-decades-of-decline-in-the-risk-free-real-interest-rate
8) Countries by Population Density | Countries by Density 2024,
worldpopulationreview.com, 2024
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/countries-by-density
9) Map of London's Green Belt including sites threatened with
development, London Green Belt Council, 2024
https://londongreenbeltcouncil.org.uk/
10) urban sprawl, John Rafferty, 2024
https://www.britannica.com/topic/urban-sprawl
11) U.K. Fertility Rate 1950-2024, macrotrends.net, 2024
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/GBR/united-kingdom/fertility-rate
12) What is RAAC concrete and why is it a safety risk?, BBC News, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-66669239
13) Grenfell Tower inquiry: 9 things we now know about the cladding, Tom Symonds, 2021
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-56403431
14) 6 Crazy Facts About Tokyo's Population (2021) - Inside the World’s Top Megacity, livejapan.com, 2021
https://livejapan.com/en/in-tokyo/in-pref-tokyo/in-tokyo_suburbs/article-a0002533/
15) HS2 explained: Why people are fighting the UK’s ‘weak’ and ‘inept’ new railway, Shannon McDonagh, 2021
https://www.euronews.com/green/2021/09/13/hs2-explained-why-people-are-fighting-uk-s-weak-and-inept-new-railway
16) HS2: What is the route and why is the Manchester link scrapped?, BBC News, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16473296
17) UK house prices and three decades of decline in the risk‑free real interest rate, David Miles & Victoria Monro, 2019
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2019/uk-house-prices-and-three-decades-of-decline-in-the-risk-free-real-interest-rate
18) House price to income ratio in United Kingdom (UK) from 1st quarter 2012 to 3rd quarter 2022, statista.com, 2024
https://www.statista.com/statistics/591728/house-price-to-income-ratio-the-uk/
19) par excellence, Cambridge Dictionary, 2024
https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/par-excellence
20) First-time buyer statistics and facts: 2023, Claire Flynn, 2023
https://www.money.co.uk/mortgages/first-time-buyer-mortgages/statistics
Feb 12, 2024
49 min

With the landmark American overturning of ‘Roe vs Wade’ on 24th June 2022, greater focus than ever is being placed on the impacts and arguments surrounding abortion policy. This is further evidenced by how over 60 countries have changed their national abortion policies in the last 30 years alone. In the midst of this controversy, Max and Professor Clarke sit down to discuss his research into the effects of more liberal abortion policies being initiated in Mexico, as well as other evidence to the effects of abortion policy on economic development indicators.
Professor Clarke is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Exeter and University of Chille, is a Research Fellow at IZA, and an affiliate with the Millennium Institute for Research in Market Imperfections and Public Policy.
As ever referenced research material is included down below.
Enjoy!
Professor Damian Clarke:
https://business-school.exeter.ac.uk/economics/research/subject-themes/profile/index.php?web_id=Damian-Clarke
http://damianclarke.net/
References:
1) US supreme court overturns abortion rights, upending Roe v Wade,
Glenza et al, 2022
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/24/roe-v-wade-overturned-abortion-summary-supreme-court#:~:text=The%20supreme%20court%20has%20ruled,fracture%20reproductive%20rights%20in%20America.
2) WHERE DO ABORTION RIGHTS STAND IN THE WORLD IN 2023?, focus2030.org,
2023
https://focus2030.org/Where-do-abortion-rights-stand-in-the-world-in-2023#:~:text=The%20vast%20majority%20of%20countries,strictly%20prohibited%20in%2024%20countries.
3) Abortion Law: Global Comparisons, Women and Foreign Policy, 2023
https://www.cfr.org/article/abortion-law-global-comparisons#:~:text=In%20the%20last%20thirty%20years,women%20can%20access%20abortion%20services.
4) Taylor Rule Definition, Adam Hayes, 2023
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/taylorsrule.asp
5) Nobel Prize: Claudia Goldin wins 2023 award for economics, Arthur
Sullivan, 2023
https://www.dw.com/en/nobel-prize-claudia-goldin-wins-2023-award-for-economics/a-67021919
6) fertility rate, Natalie Smoak, 2023
https://www.britannica.com/topic/fertility-rate
7) Fertility rate, total (births per woman), World Bank, 2022
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?view=map
8) UK population pyramid, Office for National Statistics, 2023
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/articles/ukpopulationpyramidinteractive/2020-01-08
9) French plan to raise retirement age by two years to 64, Williamson
& Fouche, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64229379
10) Romania’s abortion ban tore at society, a warning for U.S, Gail
Kligman, 2022
https://www.washingtonpost.com/made-by-history/2022/09/15/romania-exposes-how-abortion-bans-kill-women-rip-society-apart/
11) What Argentina’s ‘green handkerchief’ movement is all about, Jill
Filipovic, 2020
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/12/30/opinions/argentina-abortion-legalization-significance-filipovic/index.html
12) Are Abortions Linked to an Increased Risk of Breast Cancer?, Alex
Kasprak, 2017
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/abortion-breast-cancer-link/
13) End Poverty: Millennium Development Goals and Beyond 2015, un.org,
2023
https://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/
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Jan 29, 2024
52 min

Can we be guided to 'better' decision making? and should we...
In this episode of the Marginal Babble Podcast, I sit down with Dr
Jingnan (Cecilia) Chen to discuss behavioural nudges, how they can be
used to guide our decision making and the ethical questions they pose.
Dr Chen has a PhD in Economics from George Mason University, and her
research focuses on Behavioural Economics and Game Theory. As ever
referenced research material is included below.
Enjoy!
Timestamps:
00:00 Opening
00:30 Introduction
01:12 What is a ''Nudge"?
02:01 Examples of Nudges
03:59 Ethics of Nudge Use
08:01 "When a nudge is (not) enough" Research Discussion
16:56 What is a Prisoners Dilemma?
20:21 Prisoners Dilemma in the Research
24:35 Takeaways from the Study
29:35 Is the use of Students Compromising Scientific Research?
31:43 Governmental Use of Nudges
34:28 Are Nudges Cost-Effective?
38:39 Should Nudge Use Be Regulated?
40:24 Subscription Auto-Renewals
45:52 What Behavioural Economics Research Should Be Conducted in the Future?
48:55 Cecilia's Other Research
50:23 Outro
Dr Cecilia Chen:
https://business-school.exeter.ac.uk/people/profile/index.php?web_id=Cecilia_Chen
References:
1) When Choice is Demotivating: Can One Desire Too Much of a Good
Thing?, Iyengar & Lepper, 2000
https://faculty.washington.edu/jdb/345/345%20Articles/Iyengar%20%26%20Lepper%20(2000).pdf
2) The meaning of default options for potential organ donors, Davidai et
al, 2012
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1211695109
3) How to Spot—and Avoid—Dark Patterns on the Web, Eric Ravenscraft,
2020
https://www.wired.com/story/how-to-spot-avoid-dark-patterns/
4) When a nudge is (not) enough: Experiments on social information and
incentives, Jingnan (Cecilia) Chen et al, 2021
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0014292121000647
5) Prisoner’s Dilemma, CFI, 2023
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/economics/prisoners-dilemma/
6) Pareto Efficiency, Game Theory 101, 2023
https://gametheory101.com/courses/game-theory-101/pareto-efficiency/
7) Sustainable Development of the Ocean Economy! | Marginal Babble Ep.11
with Dr Ethan Addicott, Marginal Babble Podcast, 2023
https://youtu.be/hrGOEvdgOfU
8) “Nudge Unit”, Jill Rutter, 2020
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/explainer/nudge-unit
9) Behavioural Economics - What is Loss Aversion?, tutor2u.com, 2023
https://www.tutor2u.net/economics/reference/behavioural-economics-loss-aversion
10) How Much Choice is Too Much? Contributions to 401(k) Retirement
Plans, Iyengar et al, 2004
https://academic.oup.com/book/36222/chapter-abstract/315665311?redirectedFrom=fulltext&login=false
11) Axioms of Consumer Preference and Theory of Choice, David Autor,
2010
https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/109484/14-03-fall-2010/contents/lecture-notes/MIT14_03F10_lec03.pdf
12) The Prize in Economic Sciences 2017, nobelprize.org, 2023
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2017/popular-information/
13) Subscription Businesses Are Booming. Here’s How to Value Them,
McCarthy & Fader, 2017
https://hbr.org/2017/12/subscription-businesses-are-booming-heres-how-to-value-them
14) She uncovered key drivers of gender differences in the labour
market, nobelprize.org, 2023
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2023/press-release/
15) How Much Will Climate Change Reduce Productivity in a
High-Technology Supply Chain? Evidence from Silicon Wafer Manufacturing,
Chen et al, 2023
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10640-023-00803-4
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Jan 15, 2024
50 min

According to Andrea Borgarello at The World Bank, “A healthy ocean
provides jobs and food, sustains economic growth, regulates the climate,
and supports the well-being of coastal communities”. Our oceans and
ocean economy have not only a distinct impact on global food production,
but also provide us with incredible habitats and vibrant biodiversity.
As the world’s largest carbon sink, we need to protect the oceans whilst
still using it to provide for the approximately 600 million livelihoods
globally that depend at least partially on fisheries and aquaculture.
In today’s episode, I sit down to talk with Dr Ethan Addicott out of the
University of Exeter to discuss the permitting of the fishing industry
in Alaska and how such schemes affect the wider economy.
His work combines theory with detailed biogeophysical and economic data
to better understand changes in natural capital assets. Ethan frequently
works with natural scientists and other economists to accelerate
progress toward a sustainable future.
Dr Ethan Addicott:
https://business-school.exeter.ac.uk/people/profile/index.php?web_id=Ethan_Addicott
Timestamps:
00:00 Opening
00:29 Introduction
01:05 Outline of Research Paper
02:47 Ocean Degradation
03:21 Why Fishing Permits?
09:39 Fisheries Spillovers
11:30 What are Fisheries?
17:06 Research Results
21:37 Other Research on Fisheries
27:03 Why Regulating a Technology Might Be Bad for a Resource?
30:33 Free Markets VS Regulation
33:52 Downsides of Fishery Permits
34:40 Data Collection/Analysis on Research Paper
36:10 New Policy Opportunities?
42:28 Opportunities for Future Research?
47:38 Ethan's Other Work
48:55 Outro
Video References:
1) Dumped fishing gear is biggest plastic polluter in ocean, finds
report, Sandra Laville, 2019
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/nov/06/dumped-fishing-gear-is-biggest-plastic-polluter-in-ocean-finds-report
2) Identifying the potential for cross-fishery spillovers: a network
analysis of Alaskan permitting patterns, Addicott, Kroetz, Reimer,
Sanchirico, Lew and Huetteman, 2018
https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/10.1139/cjfas-2017-0550
3) Lotka-Volterra Equations, Eric Weisstein, 2023
https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Lotka-VolterraEquations.html
4) What Is the Prisoner's Dilemma and How Does It Work?, Investopedia,
2023
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/prisoners-dilemma.asp
5) 30 Years of Limited Entry, Frank Homan, 2023
https://seagrant.uaf.edu/events/fish-com2/ppts/homan-limitedentry-summary.pdf
6) Can Catch Shares Prevent Fisheries Collapse?, Christopher Costello et
al, 2008
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1159478
7) Did NATIONALISATION Help the Rail Industry? | Marginal Babble Ep.6
with Dr Mark Casson, Maxwell Dorey, 2023
https://youtu.be/p8l9UwTHW6c
8) Being BETTER with Data Analysis! | Marginal Babble Ep.9 with Dr
Shixuan Wang, Maxwell Dorey, 2023
https://youtu.be/0hT4Ly5fc80
9) Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act, NOAA
Fisheries, 2007
https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/resource/document/magnuson-stevens-fishery-conservation-and-management-act
10) Has the Brexit fishing promise come true?, Tamara Kovacevic, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/64430216
11) United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development
(2021-2030), Unesco, 2023
https://en.unesco.org/ocean-decade
12) Coastal zone management, UN Environment Programme, 2023
https://www.unep.org/explore-topics/oceans-seas/what-we-do/working-regional-seas/coastal-zone-management
13) How climate change is re-allocating ocean wealth – and why it
matters, Ethan Addicott, 2023
https://business-school-expertise.exeter.ac.uk/article/how-climate-change-is-re-allocating-ocean-wealth/
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Dec 4, 2023
49 min

Global population has exploded over the last 50 years, and with it, our demand for food production. This time-period has also seen a tremendous increase in acknowledgement of how we as the human race are impacting the global environment and the countless species that inhabit it. In today’s episode I sit down with Professor Ian Bateman OBE to discuss how modern farming and agricultural practices are impacting biodiversity across the globe. Despite numerous measures and policies initiated by world governments, Professor Bateman outlines to me how such measures have not been as effective as we might have expected and how they must change if we want to preserve biodiversity on our planet.
Ian is an environmental economist whose research covers the issues of ensuring sustainable wellbeing, particularly with regard to decision making and policy. Ian is also a member of the First Minister's Environmental Council advising the Scottish Government and was awarded his OBE in 2013 for services to environmental science and policy. As ever referenced research material is included below.
Professor Ian Bateman OBE:
https://business-school.exeter.ac.uk/people/profile/index.php?web_id=Ian_Bateman
References
1) Population, total, worldbank.org, 2023
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL
2) Soy, wwf.panda.org, 2023
https://wwf.panda.org/discover/our_focus/food_practice/sustainable_production/soy/
3) Trophic levels in an ecosystem – AQA: Transfer of biomass, BBC
Bitesize, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/guides/zs7gw6f/revision/3
4) ‘We have to pay more for food’: Britain’s biggest tomato farmer on
the runaway costs of growing, theguardian.com, 2023
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/feb/23/we-have-to-pay-more-for-food-britains-biggest-tomato-farmer-on-the-runaway-costs-of-growing
5) UK has 'led the world' in destroying the natural environment, Josh
Davis, 2020
https://www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/news/2020/september/uk-has-led-the-world-in-destroying-the-natural-environment.html
6) Organic farming, yara.co.uk, 2023
https://www.yara.co.uk/grow-the-future/sustainable-farming/organic-farming/
7) How Sri Lanka Went Bankrupt, Waez Asif Sattar, 2022
https://oxfordpoliticalreview.com/2022/07/30/how-sri-lanka-went-bankrupt/
8) Prisoner’s Dilemma, corporatefinanceinstitute.com, 2023
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/economics/prisoners-dilemma/
9) Climate change already worse than expected, says new UN report,
Kieran Mulvaney, 2022
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/climate-change-already-worse-than-expected-un-report
10) A nationwide study of factors associated with household car
ownership in China, Le Vine et al, 2018
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0386111217300614
11) Per capita greenhouse gas emissions 2021, Jones et al, 2023
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/per-capita-ghg-emissions
12) GDP (current US$) – China, worldbank.org, 2023
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=CN
13) World Poverty Rate 1981-2023, macrotrends.net, 2023
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/poverty-rate
14) 30 by 30 explained, NatureScot.com, 2023
https://www.nature.scot/professional-advice/protected-areas-and-species/30-30-and-nature-networks/30-30-explained
15) Rich landowners paid millions in farming subsidies, BBC News, 2012
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-17225652
16) EU plans CAP reforms for 'greener' farm subsidies, BBC News, 2011
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15272815
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Nov 8, 2023
57 min

In today’s episode I sit down to talk with Dr Shixuan Wang out of the University of Reading, to discuss econometrics, data analysis and how businesses can incorporate better analytics into their operations. As always links to referenced research material are included in the description and without further ado lets get into the episode, enjoy!
References:
1) Volume of data/information created, captured, copied, and consumed
worldwide from 2010 to 2020, with forecasts from 2021 to 2025,
Statista.com, 2023
https://www.statista.com/statistics/871513/worldwide-data-created/
2) What Is Big Data? Definition, How It Works, and Uses, Troy Segal,
2022 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/big-data.asp
3) What It Means When a Variable Is Spurious, Ashley Crossman, 2020
https://www.thoughtco.com/spuriousness-3026602
4) Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach, Francis Vitek, 2017
https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WP/2017/wp1789.ashx
5) Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion, Angrist
& Pischke, 2008
https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=ztXL21Xd8v8C&pg=PA227&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false
6) Modelling Australian electricity prices using indicator saturation,
Apergis, Pan, Reade & Wang, 2023
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/111043/
Socials:
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Sep 30, 2023
50 min

Is SENTIMENT Changing Towards the European Union ? | Marginal Babble Ep.8 with Dr Alexander Mihailov
With the European continent seemingly in the midst of its largest military conflict since WW2, Max and Dr Mihailov sit down to discuss the changing public opinion towards the EU, the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war and the future that’s coming on the horizon.
References:
See YouTube Video description for full references list.
https://youtu.be/ck3KexYdnAY
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Jul 1, 2023
1 hr 34 min

In 1807, Britain passes the 'Abolition of the Slave Trade Act' which formally outlaws the buying and selling of enslaved people within the British empire. Although this took several more decades to effectively implement, it did eventually abolish slavery across the empire. What resulted in its wake however was the use of periodic labour contracts where individuals were required to work for a specific period, generally for no or very little money. This became to be known as 'Indentured Labour' and to many is considered the start of what we would call today 'Modern Slavery'. In today’s episode I sit down and talk to Professor Uma Kambhampati about Indian Indentured labour, it’s links to modern slavery, as well as the labour economics facing India in the current day.
Uma is head of the School of Politics, Economics and International Relations at Reading University and holds a PhD in Economics from Cambridge university. Uma’s research as a whole focuses on applied development economics with particular focus in recent years on inequalities relating to gender.
Professor Uma Kambhampati:
https://www.reading.ac.uk/economics/our-staff/uma-kambhampati
As always referenced research material is included below . Enjoy!
References:
1) The Sweet and Sour History of Sugar Prices, winton.com, 2017
https://www.winton.com/longer-view/the-sweet-and-sour-history-of-sugar-prices
2) Between unfreedoms: The Role of caste in decisions to repatriate amount indentured workers, Hui & Kambhampati, 2021
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ehr.13115
3) Asymmetric Information in Economics Explained, Bloomenthal, 2021
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/asymmetricinformation.asp
4) Over 180 Years of Indians in the Caribbean, Wilson, 2021
https://exceptionalcaribbean.com/2021/05/28/over-180-years-of-indians-in-the-caribbean/
5) Modern slavery cases rise in Lancs as Home Office accuse victims of 'abusing system', Farnworth, 2022
https://www.lancashiretelegraph.co.uk/news/23060146.modern-slavery-cases-rise-lancs-home-office-accuse-victims-abusing-system/
6) India's jobs crisis is more serious than it seems, Biswas, 2022
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-59870297
7) India: Youth unemployment rate from 1999 to 2021, statista.com, 2023
https://www.statista.com/statistics/812106/youth-unemployment-rate-in-india/
8) Underemployment: Definition, Causes, and Example, Chen, 2022
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/u/underemployment.asp
9) India unveils higher spending for infrastructure in growth budget, Monnappa et al, 2022.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/view-india-unveils-higher-spending-infrastructure-growth-budget-2022-02-01/
10) India: extreme inequality in numbers, oxfam.org, 2023
https://www.oxfam.org/en/india-extreme-inequality-numbers
11) Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) in Economics, With Formula, investopedia.com, 2022.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marginalpropensitytoconsume.asp
12) Ease of Doing Business rankings, The World Bank, 2019
https://archive.doingbusiness.org/en/rankings
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Jun 11, 2023
1 hr 21 min

With approximately 1.7bn individual journeys in 2019, the rail industry forms a significant factor in how people and goods flow around the UK economy. Given the recent headlines and press coverage of the sector, Max and Dr Mark Casson sit down to discuss the history of the British rail industry, it’s nationalization in the early 20th century and how the modern economic climate will affect the network in the near future!
Referenced Research Material:
1) Losses of Water in the Canal System, TheConstructor.org, access date 08.04.2023.
https://theconstructor.org/water-resources/losses-of-water-in-the-canal-system/37896/#:~:text=Evaporation%20and%20seepage%20loss%20in,the%20design%20of%20channel%20capacity.
2) Railways Act 1921, gov.uk
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/Geo5/11-12/55/enacted
3) HS2 Project Update, hs2.org.uk, 2023
https://www.hs2.org.uk/what-is-hs2/hs2-project-update/#:~:text=HS2%20is%20Britain's%20new%20high,social%20regeneration%20project%20in%20decades.
4) Photographs from the surplus vehicle boneyards of World War Two, 1945-1948, rarehistoricalphotos.com, 2023
https://rarehistoricalphotos.com/surplus-boneyards-world-war-two/
5) Concerns raised over rail electrification pace with only 2.2km of track added in last year, newcivilengineer.com, 2023
https://www.newcivilengineer.com/latest/concerns-raised-over-rail-electrification-pace-with-only-2-2km-of-track-added-in-last-year-31-01-2023/#:~:text=At%20the%20current%20glacial%20rate,was%20achieved%20in%202020%2F21.
6) Rail fares across Europe: The countries with the most expensive train tickets, euronews.com, 2023
https://www.euronews.com/travel/2023/01/09/rail-fares-across-europe-the-countries-with-the-most-expensive-train-tickets
7) East coast mainline pays taxpayers £1bn sparking fresh reprivatisation fury, theguardian.com, 2014
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/aug/04/east-coast-mainline-fury-reprivatisation-plan
8) UK holidaymakers face ‘green premium’ for travelling by train, inews.co.uk, 2021
https://inews.co.uk/news/environment/uk-holidaymakers-face-green-premium-for-travelling-by-train-1101572?ico=in-line_link
9) Elon Musk’s The Boring Company to take on hyperloop project, techcrunch.com, 2022
https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/24/elon-musks-the-boring-company-to-take-on-hyperloop-project/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAB5m-hnKTlzr3umagUe7sMmmoli1XK6kVK_5QgaV2f09itzE2-oopa6ga-q6aXflTTPnSr2xRsTXUndd-R3-yM9fVnyPvPaBTYrbQErPqOaPB3rFCAnH8RqTC_YZLVLnA4Xm1htHuD1UQn4HKWGoYMJaSJpSdmhBXT27oiQk9gVG
10) Elizabeth Line: More than 100 million journeys on Elizabeth Line, says YouGov, BBC News, 2023
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-berkshire-64702518
11) World's First Railway System: Enterprise, Competition, and Regulation on the Railway Network in Victorian Britain, Mark Casson, 2009
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Worlds-First-Railway-System-Competition/dp/0199213976
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Jun 11, 2023
1 hr 18 min

Why is it that banks do not lend to real businesses? What caused the 2008 financial crisis? Why do modern macro-economic models so often fail? In this episode of the Marginal Babble Podcast I sit down with Dr Sheri Markose to discuss these questions and find out why so often economic policy fails in achieving its objectives.
Sheri has been a Professor at the Essex University Economics Department since 2006 and has a PhD in Economics from the London School of Economics.
Referenced Research Material:
1) Bank Lending To The Real Economy by finance-watch.org
https://www.finance-watch.org/uf/bank-lending-to-the-real-economy/
2) The great mortgaging, by Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor & Oscar Jorda, 2014
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/great-mortgaging
3) Global Financial Stability Report, October 2008: Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macro financial Implications and Policy, 2008
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/GFSR/Issues/2016/12/31/Global-Financial-Stability-Report-October-2008-Financial-Stress-and-Deleveraging-Macrofi-22027
4) Modeling Rational Players: Part I, by Ken Binmore, 2008
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/economics-and-philosophy/article/abs/modeling-rational-players-part-i/C7D2FE263BD21AAF0BAEF8856CEDA3FB
5) Multi-Agent Financial Network (MAFN) Model of US Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO): Regulatory Capital Arbitrage, Negative CDS Carry Trade and Systemic Risk Analysis, by Sheri M. Markose, Bewaji Oluwasegun & Simone Giansante, 2012
https://repository.essex.ac.uk/3712/1/dp714.pdf
6) Banking on the State by Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrew G Haldane
http://qed.econ.queensu.ca/faculty/milne/870/Bank%20on%20the%20State.pdf
7) Papers by Sheri Markose
Complexification of eukaryote phenotype: Adaptive immuno-cognitive systems as unique Gödelian blockchain distributed ledger, by Sheri Markose, 2022
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0303264722001022
Genomic Intelligence as Über Bio-Cybersecurity: The Gödel Sentence in Immuno-Cognitive Systems, by Sheri Markose, 2021
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33805411/
8) Complex type 4 structure changing dynamics of digital agents: Nash equilibria of a game with arms race in innovations, by Sheri Markose, 2017
https://www.aimsciences.org/article/doi/10.3934/jdg.2017015
9) Early warning of systemic risk in global banking: eigen-pair R number for financial contagion and market price-based methods, by S Markose, S Giansante, NA Eterovic & M Gatkowski, 2021
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10479-021-04120-1
10) Cantor’s Diagonal Lemma
https://mathworld.wolfram.com/CantorDiagonalMethod.html
11) The Sensory Order: An Inquiry into the Foundations of Theoretical Psychology by F. A. Hayek,
https://www.abebooks.co.uk/9780226320946/Sensory-Order-Inquiry-Foundations-Theoretical-0226320944/plp
12) The White Paper by Satoshi Nakamoto
https://books.google.co.uk/books/about/The_White_Paper.html?id=5BFDvAEACAAJ&source=kp_book_description&redir_esc=y
13) Network Effects On Cash Card Substitution In Transactions And Low Interest Rate Regimes by Sheri M Markose & Yiing Jia Loke, 2003
https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=iQeWUloAAAAJ&cstart=20&pagesize=80&sortby=pubdate&citation_for_view=iQeWUloAAAAJ:u-x6o8ySG0sC
14) The impact of quantitative easing on UK bank lending: Why banks do not lend to businesses? By Mahmoud Fatouh, Sheri Markose & Simone Giansante,
http://repository.essex.ac.uk/24409/1/FatouhMarkoseGiansanteImpactofQEWhybanksdonotlendtobusi nesses1-s2.0-S0167268119300538-main.pdf
15) The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/242472.The_Black_Swan
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Jun 11, 2023
1 hr 54 min
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