Crypto Voices
Crypto Voices
Matthew Mezinskis
PE12: Exponential trend percentiles on silver price
23 minutes Posted Jan 24, 2023 at 7:42 pm.
Intro
Silver briefly
Four basic trendlines
Exponential trendline on silver price (48% R-squared)
Hunt brothers
One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)
Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)
What about the silver bulls?
0:00
23:42
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Show notes
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This is the twelfth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of silver price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression.
Coefficients:
y = a * EXP (b * x)
y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)
y = 3.55 * EXP (0.27% * x)
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