@rundmcd is back to talk about evaluating risk!  (AKA "Dave tells me the 3 pitchers I'm allowed to draft this year!") 11:20 Carlos Rodon 22:05 Jacob deGrom 31:15 Shane Bieber 38:50 Chris Sale 44:15 Luis Severino 54:05 Clevinger vs Verlander 1:14:43 Clayton Kershaw, and Dinelson Lamet "When I see PRP, I'm out." - Dave 1:27:30 Zac Gallen Find us on Twitter!  He's @rundmcd, and I'm @commonsensefbb.

Greg (@gjewett9) helps me size up EVERY team once again, as I do last minute cramming for my Main Event draft tomorrow. 2:05 Baltimore Orioles 3:20 Boston Red Sox 5:25 Chicago White Sox 5:50 Cleveland 9:45 Detroit Tigers 10:45 Houston Astros 12:20 KC Royals 13:50 LA Angels 15:10 Minnesota Twins 16:30 NY Yankees 17:10 Oakland A's 18:15 Seattle Mariners 19:55 Tampa Rays 25:35 Texas Rangers 26:55 Toronto Blue Jays 27:40 Arizona Diamondbacks 29:20 Atlanta Braves 30:25 Chicago Cubs 31:40 Cincinnati Reds 33:40 Colorado Rockies 35:20 LA Dodgers 36:25 Miami Marlins 37:20 Milwaukee Brewers 38:35 NY Mets 39:15 Philadelphia Phillies 41:10 Pittsburgh Pirates 44:10 San Diego Padres 46:25 SF Giants 48:30 St Louis Cardinals 50:10 Washington Nationals 51:55 Speculative pick ups, stashes, and late round darts Find us on Twitter!  He's @gjewett9, and I'm @commonsensefbb.

Rob and I talk about his podcast and his leagues, and how we're building our teams in DC leagues and FAAB leagues. 06:20 Differences in drafting strategies for Draft and Hold (Draft Champions) leagues vs FAAB leagues 11:00 Catchers 16:45 Closers 22:45 Stolen Bases 31:25 Luis Robert 37:55 Keston Hiura and Javy Baez (and other swing and miss guys) 44:25 Tim Anderson 51:10 Prospects 58:00 Pitchers (Means, Urquidy, Yarbrough, Minor) 1:12:00 Late DC picks He's @deadpullhitter, I'm @commonsensefbb -- find us on Twitter!

Dave (@RunDMcD) shares what he's learned through years of experience, about how to assess players' risks in fantasy baseball. 1:45 Verlander, going into 2020 6:00 How to think about taking a guy off your board completely 9:35 Sale, Syndergaard, and Severino (don't draft guys who won't be playing) 11:45 Taillon (it can take a while to get back your skills) 18:10 deGrom (we can disagree on how much risk there is, but don't ignore it as a part of the assessment) 27:40 Scherzer (we all see the risks, but we don't seem to know how to price them in) 31:40 Strasburg (fear of the unknown plus the price...plus the fact that he's had injury issues all through the years) 34:10 Lamet (he's injured now...plus, PRP means TJ a lot of the time) 37:20 Carrasco (the risk/reward is a value at the price) 40:30 Musgrove (going late enough to take a risk) 43:35 Canning (after pick 300, go for upside) 46:25 Stanton vs Buxton (price matters, many paths to value, UT downgrade, career IL days, paying for a career year, volume of injuries vs the type of injury -- both matter) He's @RunDMcD, I'm @commonsensefbb -- find us on Twitter!

@MattWi77iams and I discuss some players we think are going too early: 3:40 Jose Abreu around pick 30 and Luke Voit around pick 60 - Matt 8:25 Pablo Lopez around pick 100 - Drew 15:45 Walker Buehler around pick 20 - Matt 20:30 Kyle Lewis around pick 75 (but even at pick 100-120) - Drew 26:05 Randy Arozarena around pick 60 - Matt -- 32:20 an aside on Mondesi -- Then we discuss some players we think are going too late: 38:00 Austin Meadows and Yoan Moncada (around pick 85) - Matt 41:45 Matt Chapman around pick 120 - Drew 45:50 Rafael Devers around pick 50 - Matt 48:00 Zack Greinke around pick 100 - Drew 54:00 Bryan Reynolds around pick 325 - Drew He's @MattWi77iams, I'm @commonsensefbb -- find us on Twitter!

Greg (@gjewett9) and I look at every MLB team and discuss the closer situation, as best we can tell in November. AMERICAN LEAGUE 1:30 Baltimore Orioles 3:40 Boston Red Sox 6:20 Chicago White Sox 8:25 Cleveland Indians 11:10 Detroit Tigers 13:50 Houston Astros 15:50 Kansas City Royals 18:10 Los Angeles Angels 20:10 Minnesota Twins 21:30 New York Yankees 23:50 Oakland Athletics 26:20 Seattle Mariners 27:35 Tampa Bay Rays 29:10 Texas Rangers 31:45 Toronto Blue Jays NATIONAL LEAGUE 33:55 Arizona Diamondbacks 36:15 Atlanta Braves 38:30 Chicago Cubs 41:05 Cincinnati Reds 43:40 Colorado Rockies 45:35 Los Angeles Dodgers 47:45 Miami Marlins 50:25 Milwaukee Brewers 54:10 New York Mets 57:05 Philadelphia Phillies 59:15 Pittsburgh Pirates 1:02:05 San Diego Padres 1:04:45 San Francisco Giants 1:06:15 St Louis Cardinals 1:07:15 Washington Nationals 1:08:10 BONUS - Greg's Hader-type breakout formula He's @gjewett9, I'm @commonsensefbb -- find us on Twitter!

Zack and I take a look at early ADP from Justin Mason's "2 Early Mock Drafts" and Zack's draft and hold leagues that are drafting for real already. 4:10 We gently poke fun at mock drafts and point out some shortcomings Then we discuss players we think are going too early (AVOIDS): 7:10 Mike Clevinger at ADP 61 (Zack) 19:40 Pete Alonso at ADP 53 (Drew) 25:55 Sixto Sanchez at ADP 80 (Zack) 34:00 Gleyber Torres at ADP 63 (Drew...Zack disagrees) 40:05 Gary Sanchez at ADP 169 (Zack) 45:35 Joey Gallo at ADP 127 (Drew) Next we move on to players we think are going too late (TARGETS): 50:35 Gio Urshela at ADP 158 (Drew) ...take him instead of Vlad! 56:40 Zach Plesac at ADP 80 (Zack) 1:04:25 Tommy Edman at ADP 179 (Drew) 1:10:30 Dansby Swanson at ADP 106 (Zack) 1:18:07 Triston McKensie at ADP 208 (Drew) 1:27:30 Michael Pineda at ADP 275 (Zack) Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

Toby returns to talk about some up and coming players! 1:10 the keys to Toby's success in 2020 4:45 Off season prep begins!  We start by discussing some lessons learned. Then we discuss some breakout players: 16:10 Corey Seager 27:40 Luke Voit 34:45 Teoscar Hernandez 42:05 Kyle Lewis 49:20 Dominic Smith 56:00 An aside about Stolen Bases 1:00:50 Austin Nola 1:05:40 Some other guys (Slater, Santander, Cronenworth, Arozarena, Walsh, Happ, Moore) 1:21:40 Who could be the Corbin Burnes or Dylan Bundy of 2021? Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

Some thoughts on strike out rate, BABIP, and what they mean for batting average. Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!

Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!