2030 - An experiment in thinking about the future Podcast

2030 - An experiment in thinking about the future

Arne Hessenbruch
Thinking about the future is not the same as trying to predict. Predicting is very difficult indeed. But even when predicting incorrectly, there is some value in the exercise. What is it? Foresight, reduction of anxiety, pleasure?This experiment tries (very hard) to predict the future correctly in 3 incremental steps: 2023, 2026, and 2030 (probably 30 8-minute episodes in all). It does so by weaving many different strands of life together - because when we look at history, this is how history has always progressed.But the object of interest is not primarily in the vision of 2030, it is in the side effects of arriving at it.By Arne Hessenbruch, Lecturer at MIT.https://www.linkedin.com/in/arnehessenbruch/
The online experience 2026
Online events (sports, music, religious services) will be the site of most innovation, but work and education will also be impacted greatly. This in turn has repercussions for lots of other domains.
Oct 2, 2020
9 min
Agile in 2026
In 2026, learning, accreditation, and task completion will be vastly improved by agile provision of resources just in time. The data on us will be very fine grained. We will feel we have control over privacy, but not justifiably so. A private company...
Aug 20, 2020
9 min
Politics and governance in 2026
Predicting 2026 (as opposed to 2023) means moving away from solid ground, from prediction towards fiction. Here goes: A new jurisdiction will be created by 2026 to serve the interests of the largest companies in data management, straddling East and...
Aug 13, 2020
11 min
China and the goal-directed life
Ordinary citizens in China have experienced many obstacles to peacefully planning their lives. But since the end of the Cultural Revolution, the Chinese government has provided ever more structures within which to plan for the future. It's not rule of...
Aug 9, 2020
13 min
The goal-directed life
Planning is ubiquitous - for individuals, companies, and governments. Planning is easier in societies facilitating predictability. In the Western world this is done through the rule of law. The Chinese Communist Party is attempting to provide the same...
Aug 5, 2020
10 min
Science fiction and awe
#thinkingaboutthefuture falls somewhere between two poles, the ordinary quotidian experience of planning, and the extraordinary experience of awe.
Jul 21, 2020
7 min
The purpose of history
The ability to distinguish between the enduring and the transient is vital to any realistic program of social action in the present, John Tosh, in "The Pursuit of History"
Jul 16, 2020
9 min
Models and decentralization
We are going through something like a paradigm shift in models, from centralized to decentralized. And not too soon. Decentralized models would help us in #thinkingaboutthefuture
Jul 13, 2020
10 min
"Good" models and action
Decision-making is increasingly guided by data science. One needs good data, and a good way of combining data into a view of the world, a model of how things work. A "good" model that is fed "good" data yields "good" thinking about the future - and...
Jul 8, 2020
10 min
Patterns of arguments about the future
Identifying the most common argument (which I use myself): there is this pattern in the past, continue it into the future ... and that's what the future will look like.
Jul 6, 2020
10 min
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