The Power Of Zero Show
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight
Tax rates 10 years from now are likely to be much higher than they are today. Is your retirement plan ready? Learn how to avoid the coming tax freight train and maximize your retirement dollars.
Here's Why They're Going to Extend the Trump Tax Cuts Before 2024
The Trump tax cuts went into effect at the end of 2017, but because they lacked a supermajority of approval in Congress those tax cuts had an expiration date. David has long maintained that the government won’t let those tax cuts expire. There is a broad swath of Americans that are responsible for getting the current politicians re-elected and those people have short memories. If taxes go up, they’re going to blame those same politicians. No politician wants to be responsible for raising taxes on that many Americans. There is a high likelihood that if you are in the 10%, 12%, 22%, or 24% tax brackets, those tax brackets will be extended until 2031. If you’re construed as someone who earns a higher income, you’re probably going to face higher tax brackets. Politicians seem to be focused on the 24% tax bracket and below. The implications of these tax cuts being extended are vast. In 2018, we cut taxes and raised expenses, which was exactly the opposite of what we needed to do as a country. By extending these tax cuts, we’re kicking the can down the road and the fix is going to have to be even more draconian. We are currently spending our children’s future because there is no courage in Washington. The debt ceiling is upon us once again and Congress is waiting until the very last minute to do anything about it. The debt continues to rise for a variety of reasons. We’ve had Covid relief, wars, and tax cuts that led to additional borrowing. In the near future, the debt will be going up primarily because of Social Security, MediCare, and Medicaid. It’s projected that the national debt will be around $51 trillion by 2033. Even if we stay at historical interest rates we would struggle to be able to afford to pay that. President Joe Biden wants to raise the debt ceiling so that Congress can pay for things that have already been approved. If the US defaults on its debt, most experts predict a recession, if not a depression, millions of people would lose their jobs, interest rates would go up, the country’s credit rating would plummet, and the status of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency would be in question. Even if people got their Social Security checks in that situation, there would be so much chaos in the economy that it would hardly matter. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free 3-part video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
Jun 13, 2023
12 min
Do ALL Financial Gurus Hate Cash Value Life Insurance?
For David, financial gurus seem to hold a deep hatred for permanent life insurance – be it whole life, universal life, index universal life, or variable life. A key question to ask: with so many financial gurus against life insurance, how can we conclude that it should be integrated into a balanced, comprehensive approach to tax-free retirement? David believes that such an approach stems from the fact that these gurus address a huge homogenous audience, who’s generally drawing in debt, and that they don’t have the luxury of nuanced explanation. Everything they discuss should either be good or bad. Ed Slott, who the Wall Street Journal called ‘the best source for IRA advice’, is an expert whose approach differs from the ones mentioned above. Slott sees life insurance as an investment that’s better than your typical investment accounts for the fact that it’s tax-free. Slott goes so far as to say, “Roth IRAs and life insurance can single-handedly remove most of the taxes you or your beneficiaries will ever have to pay.” The difference in approach between Ed Slott and other financial gurus has to do with Slott’s 30 years of experience working with actual clients that has allowed him to observe the impact that cash value life insurance has on the lives of retirees and their beneficiaries. Ed Slott is not a financial guru using a one-size-fits-all strategy for the masses. He’s an educator who understands the IRS tax code and who clearly knows that tax planning and retirement require nuance, especially if you have substantial assets.     Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free 3-part video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com I’ll Teach You to Be Rich (book) How to Get Rich (Netflix series) Dave Ramsey Suze Orman The Total Money Makeover  Ed Slott
Jun 6, 2023
9 min
Should you do a Roth 401(k) or a Traditional 401(k)? (The Answer May Surprise You!)
The decision of whether to contribute to a Roth 401(k) or a Traditional 401(k) all comes down to whether you are likely to be in a higher tax bracket than you are now when you retire. The only determining factor in whether you should contribute to a Roth 401(k) is what you think your tax rate will be when you retire. David takes an example of two twin brothers and compares the difference between a Traditional 401(k) and a Roth 401(k) over the course of 30 years. The takeaway is that if tax rates remain the same, both plans are identical, but if tax rates are even just 1% higher than they are today then the Roth 401(k) will always win. If tax rates go up, the Roth 401(k) wins hands down. If tax rates stay the same, then both plans will get the same results. The only scenario where the Traditional 401(k) wins is in the unlikely event tax rates are lower in the future. Some economists have suggested that tax rates will have to double by 2030 just to keep our country solvent. In his book Comeback America, former Comptroller General David Walker predicted that average effective tax rates in the US would have to rise to 45% by 2030 to pay for unfunded obligations, Social Security, MediCare, Medicaid, and interest on the national debt. The farther out your investment horizon the more likely your tax rate in retirement will be substantially higher than it is today. With the passage of the Secure 2.0 Act, you now have the ability to direct your employer’s match to the Roth portion of your 401(k). When you retire, it is important to have some tax-deferred income in order to maximize your standard deduction. If you have all your money in your Roth 401(k) then your standard deduction will stand idle and you will have paid taxes on your contributions unnecessarily. The goal should be to allocate the lion’s share of your retirement money to your Roth 401(k) to protect you against future tax rate increases, and have the match put into the tax-deferred portion of your 401(k) so it can be offset by the standard deduction in retirement. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free 3-part video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
May 30, 2023
7 min
Ramit Sethi is WRONG About Annuities and Cash Value Life Insurance
When it comes to investing, I’ll Teach You to Be Rich author Ramit Sethi sees whole life insurance, annuities, and Primerica as major red flags. David believes that, in the Netflix documentary How to Get Rich, Ramit Sethi makes sweeping insurance product condemnations with little or no evidence to support his case. If David had a chance to sit down with Ramit Sethi, there’s a series of questions he would like to ask him, including “Why are annuities bad?” Yale Professor Robert Schiller recently affirmed that bonds aren’t the best solution for managing risk in retirement. While analyzing 10-year returns for stocks, bonds, and fixed index annuities, Schiller uncovered four startling truths.  For David, if you were to reach into your retirement portfolio, remove the bonds and replace them with a fixed index annuity, you would increase returns while safeguarding that portion of your portfolio against loss. The 4% Rule says that if you have a 60-40 stock-bond mix, the most you can take from your portfolio, and maintain a high likelihood of not running out of money before you die, is 4% per year (adjusted for inflation). If you have done a good job saving money, don’t take advice from financial gurus who are dispensing one-size-fits-all financial planning advice on Netflix. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free 3-part video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com I’ll Teach You to Be Rich (book) How to Get Rich (Netflix series) Dave Ramsey Suze Orman Prof. Robert Shiller Dr. Roger Ibbotson Yale University
May 23, 2023
11 min
Dave Ramsey Says Don’t Do an IUL Because of Its Surrender Charges (Is He Right?)
Dave Ramsey contends that the IUL is a ripoff primarily because of two reasons: high fees and surrender charges He also recommends that if you have an IUL to surrender it immediately, thereby incurring those surrender charges immediately. The reason companies have surrender charges is to cover the costs of getting the program off the ground. They start off high and reduce gradually over the first fifteen years or so. The question is, ‘Is the surrender schedule something that should weigh on your decision to do an IUL?’ The answer in most cases is no, as long as you plan on keeping the plan until death do you part. An IUL is like getting married. You have to investigate the alternatives before choosing the one that’s right for you. If Dave Ramsey adopted the same approach with the taxes and penalties in your 401(k), he would be singing a different tune. If you were to take $100,000 out of your 401(k) at the age of 40, you’d end up paying the penalty and taxes at your current tax bracket, likely resulting in $40,000 in penalties. The penalty schedule also doesn’t reduce over time when you consider that you’re likely to bump up into higher tax brackets. The first fifteen years of your IUL, 401(k), or IRA are the years you should least want to access that money. Like traditional retirement plans, IULs are generally long-term propositions. Don’t start an IUL if your plan is to take the money out in the first ten to twenty years. If Dave Ramsey has a problem with the IUL surrender charges, he should likewise have a problem with all the taxes and penalties you will pay on your traditional retirement accounts over a much longer period of time. The IUL only really works as part of a comprehensive approach to retirement and getting to the zero-percent tax bracket.     Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
May 16, 2023
6 min
Now is the Best Time in History to Get to the 0% Tax Bracket
If you have the lion’s share of your wealth in a tax-deferred bucket, you have actually played your cards perfectly. You probably allocated that money at a time when tax rates were likely higher, and right now tax rates are at historic lows. This is the perfect time to move things into the tax-free bucket. The question is ‘How long will these historically low tax rates last?’ Traditional thinking says tax rates will revert to higher rates in 2026, but that seems pretty unlikely to happen. No politician wants to be the one that raises taxes on the largest voting block in America. The most likely scenario is that Congress will extend the Trump tax cuts at some point between now and 2026 for another eight years. This may be the most important eight-year window in your life, given where tax rates will have to go into 2030 and beyond. Citing out-of-control spending on Social Security, MediCare, MediCaid, and interest on the debt, former Comptroller General David Walker has predicted that tax rates will have to double in or before the year 2030. Slowly shift your tax-deferred bucket into the tax-free bucket now while there is still time. The 24% tax bracket is the greatest sweet spot of all sweet spots. It’s only 2% more than you’re likely paying right now and it allows you to shift an additional $170,000 a year to tax-free. The 24% tax bracket is better than the future version of the 22% tax bracket, which is 25%. Every year that goes by where you fail to take advantage of the 22% and 24% tax brackets is potentially a year beyond 2030 where you could be forced to pay the highest tax rates you’re likely to see in your lifetime. Take advantage of the next 8 years to preemptively pay taxes on your retirement assets so that by the time tax rates potentially double, you’ve done all the heavy lifting and can withdraw those assets tax-free. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
May 9, 2023
6 min
Does the IUL REALLY Work?
The internet is full of naysayers that are convinced the Indexed Universal Life Insurance Policy (IUL) is a ticking time bomb, but the question is “what does the evidence show?”. Over the last fifteen years we’ve seen catastrophic market declines and near-zero interest rates for a protracted period of time. This has created the perfect conditions to measure the effectiveness of the IUL. The stock market is one of two things that drives the return of the IUL, the second and more important factor is interest rates. You should expect target rates of return between 6% and 8% within your IUL, and the last 15 years have been a great laboratory to measure the effectiveness of accomplishing that goal. The first example is a company that dates back to 2006, and despite the ups and downs of the market, the IULs have managed to keep pace with that projection. The second example uses a set of historical returns back to 2006 as well, and averages them out to show a return of just over 7%. The third example is a policy that goes back to 2009, enduring the ups and downs of the market and still showing a return of 8.03% over that time frame. When you subtract the 1% in fees in the life of the program, you will be netting 5% to 7% over the life of the contract. This is why the IUL is not a replacement for the stock market portion of your portfolio, but is great as a bond replacement. Reach into your portfolio and remove the bonds. Replace it with IUL and you will increase your return, lower your risk, and lower the standard deviation of your entire portfolio, and experience a better outcome over time. Assessing the success of your IUL is a matter of tempering your expectations and making the right comparisons. They only really work if you keep them for your entire life but they do that admirably by providing a death benefit that doubles as long-term care, as well as the ability to grow tax-free wealth safely and productively.     Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
May 2, 2023
6 min
Dave Ramsey Is WRONG About the National Debt
In a recent video a high school senior called in to Dave Ramsey’s show where he offered some good advice but also played down the severity of the nation’s debt crisis. Dave refers to two different books on how the national debt was going to ruin the country back in the 80’s, which obviously did not come to pass. The trouble is not the level of debt a country has in general, it’s how much debt there is in relation to their gross domestic product. This is why the current situation is different. The single most important measurement is the debt-to-GDP ratio. According to the World Bank, a healthy debt-to-GDP is 77% or lower. Right now, the debt-to-GDP ratio is trending well beyond that threshold over the next 16 years. Dave claims the average American investor should not have to worry about the national debt. While that’s partly true, what they really should be worrying about is the kinds of accounts they are investing their money in. Former Comptroller General David Walker explicitly predicted that by the time 2030 rolled around the national debt would be so high and out of control that the government would have to raise effective tax rates on middle America to 45%. Given the abundance of studies highlighting the dangers of the national debt, Dave Ramsey dropped the ball on helping a huge number of listeners. Americans of all ages should be concerned about the national debt. It should spur you to consider when you want to pay taxes, either now when they are at historical lows or roll the dice and see what happens in the future. Dave Ramsey is underestimating the risk of the national debt on the fiscal outlook for the US, and he missed an important opportunity to inform more Americans.     Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
Apr 25, 2023
9 min
Ernst & Young Study on Using Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement Income (Surprising Results!)
A recently published study claims that taking income from permanent life insurance and annuities in retirement can create a better outcome for investors.  Ernst & Young compared five different strategies including investments only, investments and term life insurance, permanent life insurance and investments, deferred income annuities, and a combination of #3 and #4. In their comparison, Ernst & Young considered insurance products part of the fixed income allocation and bond replacements. They also used the permanent life insurance as a volatility buffer, where they access the cash value of the policy to pay for lifestyle needs during periods of market volatility, similar to the concept in the best-selling book, The Volatility Shield. They ran 1,000 Monte Carlo comparisons with the goal of measuring sustainable income, and they used ordinary income tax rates. Each income scenario sustained a minimum of 90% probability of success. In the investment-only approach, it’s only inefficient from both an income perspective and from the legacy perspective. The strategy that produced the greatest combination of income and wealth to heirs is the scenario where 30% went into a permanent life insurance policy, 30% into a deferred income annuity, and the balance into investments. They recast the numbers for couples in different age brackets, but the results were essentially the same. The permanent life insurance policy used in this study was whole life insurance, which meant that the loans taken in retirement had to ultimately be repaid out of the investment portfolio. Had they instead used indexed, universal life insurance in the comparison, they could have shown a higher rate of return over time and guaranteed a zero-percent loan provision for the volatility buffer concept. In other words, they could have taken tax-free and cost-free distributions from their life insurance, saving money on interest payments and avoiding the phantom tax bill from the IRS. The conclusion of the study is accurate, but, by switching out the permanent life insurance for indexed universal life insurance, they would have improved their outcome even further. If they ran a scenario where tax rates doubled over time, the scenario would have pulled even further ahead than the investment-only scenario. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
Apr 18, 2023
8 min
Max Loan Challenge: Whole Life vs IUL in a Fixed Account
IUL and whole-life policies both have their place. Whole-life advocates prefer it because your cash value is guaranteed to increase each and every year as the IUL has growth that is tied to the upward movement of a stock market index. The downside to the IUL is that down years do happen, and in those years you get credited a zero but still have the expenses associated with the IUL. David goes through a scenario where all premiums within a LIRP go to the IUL’s fixed account. By allocating money in this way, you will net a consistent rate of return that is not linked to the upward movement of a stock market index, even during a down year. By allocating your premiums to your IUL’s fixed account, you can recreate all the attributes of the whole-life policy inside the IUL, only on a supercharged basis. To discover the companies that David used to model this scenario, email him at info@powerofzero.com The scenario takes a 40-year-old male contributing $20,000 per year until the age of 65. In either model, the factors were averaged out to make the comparison as fair as possible. Starting with the whole-life policy, at age 66 it produced a loan of $42,675 every year until the age of 100. That is cumulative distributions of $1,493,625. The IUL is able to produce a loan of $48,084 every year until the age of 100, with cumulative distributions of $1,683,940. If you are just comparing maximum loans on the backend, the IUL comes out on top. Whole-life policies do not have guaranteed zero-percent loan provisions which is one of the reasons that policy lags behind. With that being said, you wouldn’t want to use an IUL for its fixed account. Using a slightly different model, the benefit of the IUL races ahead considerably. At 7% growth, the loan value jumps to $100,100 and the cumulative distributions go to $3,503,500. By allocating your premiums to the fixed account inside of a maximum funded IUL, you can generate more income than you would inside a maximum funded whole-life policy. By taking a little more risk in your IUL and tying the growth of your cash-value to the growth of a stock market index up to a cap, you can more than double your annual tax-free distributions. Mentioned in this episode: David's books: Power of Zero, Look Before You LIRP, The Volatility Shield, Tax-Free Income for Life and The Infinity Code DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
Apr 11, 2023
9 min
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