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Episode 188: Nate Silver
56 minutes Posted Apr 13, 2016 at 8:23 am.
] FiveThirtyEight Podcasts
] "Why The Dean Scream Sounded So Different On TV" (Jody Avirgan, Clare Malone • FiveThirtyEight)
] The Burrito Bracket
] Silver’s Daily Kos Archive
] The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don’t (Penguin Books • 2012)
] "FiveThirtyEight’s 2012 Forecast" (New York Times • Nov 2012)
] "Donald Trump Is the World’s Greatest Troll" (FiveThirtyEight • Jul 2015) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Show notes
Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the author of The Signal and the Noise.
“I know in a perfectly rational world, if you make an 80/20 prediction, people should know that not only will this prediction not be right all the time, but you did something wrong if it’s never wrong. The 20% underdog should come through sometimes. People in sports understand that sometimes a 15 seed beats a 2 seed in the NCAA tournament. That’s much harder to explain to people in politics.”
Thanks to MailChimp, Bombas, Squarespace, and Trunk Club for sponsoring this week's episode.
Show Notes:
@NateSilver538
fivethirtyeight.com
Silver on Longform
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45:00] "Donald Trump Is the World’s Greatest Troll" (FiveThirtyEight • Jul 2015) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices