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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
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March 30, 2020
Why Trump's Approval Rating Has Increased
The crew discusses where we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis, how Americans are rating the president's performance, and the significance of the DPA.
March 26, 2020
COVID-19 Broke The Jobless Claims Chart
Economics reporter Ben Casselman joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the stunning unemployment claims numbers from last week.
March 23, 2020
How COVID-19 Is -- And Isn't -- Changing Politics
The crew discusses how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting the politics of Washington, D.C. and how it's disrupting the 2020 presidential race.
March 20, 2020
How COVID-19 Is Changing The Economy
Economist Tara Sinclair joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic so far.
March 18, 2020
How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote
FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.
March 16, 2020
Coronavirus, Uncertainty, Politics
The crew discusses the coronavirus crisis and the uncertainty and politics surrounding it.
March 16, 2020
Biden And Sanders Debate Amid Pandemic
The crew reacts to the first Biden vs. Sanders one-on-one debate, which took place amid the coronavirus pandemic.
March 11, 2020
The Democratic Primary Is No Longer Competitive
The crew reacts to the latest round of Democratic primary results, in which Biden far outperformed Sanders.
March 9, 2020
Is Even Coronavirus Partisan?
The crew discusses the results of a poll on coronavirus and previews the upcoming primary races.
March 6, 2020
Model Talk: Biden Is A Clear Favorite
March 5, 2020
Emergency Podcast: Warren Drops Out
The crew reacts to the news that Sen. Elizabeth Warren is suspending her campaign for president.
March 4, 2020
Biden Won Super Tuesday. What Now?
The crew reacts to Joe Biden's very strong performance on Super Tuesday and asks what comes next.
March 2, 2020
What's At Stake On Super Tuesday
The crew previews the races that will be decided on Super Tuesday and debates the effect Buttigieg's dropout will have.
March 1, 2020
Biden Wins Big In South Carolina
The crew reacts to Biden's big win in South Carolina and discusses what comes next in what looks to be a two person race.
February 26, 2020
How Rep. James Clyburn Settled On Endorsing Biden
Rep. James Clyburn endorsed Joe Biden on Wednesday. Galen Druke sat down with Clyburn ahead of his endorsement to discuss Biden, South Carolina and the Democratic Party.
February 26, 2020
What Went Down In The South Carolina Debate
The crew reacts to a messy Democratic debate in South Carolina.
February 23, 2020
Sanders Wins Big In Nevada
Nate Silver and editor of the Nevada Independent, Jon Ralston, join the podcast from Las Vegas to discuss the results of the Nevada caucuses.
February 20, 2020
Bloomberg Stumbles In Chaotic Debate
In a late night edition of the podcast, the crew reacts to the Nevada Democratic primary debate.
February 18, 2020
Can Bloomberg Win?!
The crew discusses Michael Bloomberg's chances of winning the nomination. They also debate whether Bernie Sanders has a lock on the Nevada caucuses.
February 14, 2020
Model Talk: The Chance Of Chaos Increases
Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the Democratic primary forecast has updated since the New Hampshire primary.
February 12, 2020
Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire
The crew reacts to the results of the New Hampshire primary, including a Sanders win, a close second for Buttigieg and a surprise third place finish for Klobuchar.
February 10, 2020
Live From Manchester: A New Hampshire Preview
At a live show in Manchester, the crew previews the New Hampshire primary, debates the likelihood of a contested convention and plays a game!
February 8, 2020
Live From The New Hampshire Debate
The crew reacts to the Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire, from the spin room.
February 6, 2020
The Results In Iowa
The crew discusses the results -- so far -- from the Iowa caucuses. They also check in on the race in New Hampshire and the vote to acquit President Trump.
February 4, 2020
Chaos In Iowa
The crew discusses the lack of results in the Democratic Iowa caucuses.
February 2, 2020
Model Talk: What To Expect From The Iowa Caucuses
Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latest polling in the final day before the Iowa caucuses.
January 31, 2020
Stacey Abrams Thinks She'll Be President By 2040
As part of our When Women Run series, Clare Malone sat down with Stacey Abrams, former candidate for governor of Georgia.
January 29, 2020
When Women Run
To better understand what it's really like to run for office as a woman, we spoke to women from every state who have done it -- 97 women in all. These are their stories.
January 27, 2020
The Sanders Surge
The crew assesses Bernie Sanders's improvement in the polls a week before the Iowa caucuses. They also discuss reporting from John Bolton's new book.
January 23, 2020
The Primaries Project: There's Gotta Be A Better System...Right?
This is the third installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
January 22, 2020
How Senators Are Calculating Impeachment Politics
FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join Galen Druke to discuss the political considerations at play in President Trump's impeachment trial.
January 20, 2020
Live From DC: America's Favorite Sandwich
In front of a live audience in DC, the crew debates the electoral cases of the leading Democratic candidates. The also discuss electability and guess what America thinks.
January 16, 2020
The Primaries Project: The Effects Of Reform
This is the second installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
January 15, 2020
The Last Pre-Iowa Debate
The crew reacts to the candidates' performances in the last Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses.
January 13, 2020
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
The crew discusses the latest polling in Iowa, showing a tight four-way race. They also talk about Booker's decision to dropout and Tom Steyer's polling in NV and SC.
January 10, 2020
Model Talk: The Primary Forecast Is Live
FiveThirtyEight's 2020 Democratic primary forecast is live. In a new installment of "Model Talk" Nate Silver discusses what went into creating it.
January 9, 2020
The Primaries Project: How 1968 Changed Everything
This is the first installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American history.
January 6, 2020
How The Iran Conflict Could Affect 2020
The team discusses the political implication's of President Trump's decision to kill Iran's Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani in a drone strike.
December 30, 2019
The Biggest Political Moments Of 2019
The podcast crew looks back at the biggest political moments of 2019 and looks ahead to the most pressing questions of 2020.
December 23, 2019
Eggnog And Listener Questions
In this holiday installment of the podcast, the crew drinks eggnog and answers questions from listeners.
December 19, 2019
The House Impeaches President Trump
President Donald Trump became the third president in American history to be impeached on Thursday. The podcast team discusses how we got here and what comes next.
December 16, 2019
Do Voters' Second Choices Matter?
The crew previews what to expect from this week's likely impeachment vote and debate how much voters' second choices matter in the Democratic primary.
December 13, 2019
Conservatives Win Big In The UK Election
University of Cambridge political scientists Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to break down the results of the 2019 British general election.
December 9, 2019
The Primary According To The Early States
The crew shares a preview of FiveThirtyEight's polling averages in the early states. They also discuss the path Trump's presidency is on.
December 4, 2019
The Legal Experts And The Polls
We review the House testimony from legal scholars on whether Trump committed an impeachable offense and check out the results of our polling collaboration with Ipsos.
December 3, 2019
Emergency Podcast: Harris Drops Out
The crew reacts to Sen. Kamala Harris's decision to drop out of the Democratic primary.
December 2, 2019
Is The Party Deciding?
The crew looks at which candidates are racking up endorsements and whether there's a meaningful trend in favor of Biden. They also take stock of Harris's troubles on the trail
November 25, 2019
A Very FiveThirtyEight Thanksgiving
The crew discusses public opinion on impeachment and plays a Thanksgiving-inspired game.
November 21, 2019
What Went Down In The 5th Democratic Debate
In a late night podcast, the crew reacts to the fifth Democratic primary debate.
November 20, 2019
Impeachment Hearings Day 4: Sondland Testifies
The crew reacts to U.S. Ambassador to the E.U. Gordon Sondland's testimony in the fourth day of public impeachment hearings.
November 20, 2019
Impeachment Hearings Day 3: The Phone Call
The crew discusses what went down during the third day of public impeachment hearings.
November 18, 2019
The Buttigieg Bump 2.0
The crew discusses the latest polling out of Iowa, showing a shakeup in the race there. They also ask why education levels are such a key factor in how people vote.
November 15, 2019
Yovanovich Testifies, Trump Attacks
The crew reacts to the second day of public impeachment hearings.
November 13, 2019
Public Impeachment Hearings Begin
The crew reacts to the first of many public impeachment hearings on President Trump's attempt to pressure Ukraine to investigate a political rival.
November 11, 2019
The FiveThirtyNATE Podcast
The New York Times's Nate Cohn joins the podcast to discuss battleground state polling, the Electoral College and the state of the Democratic primary.
November 6, 2019
What The 2019 Election Results Mean
FiveThirtyEight election analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley break down the results of the 2019 elections.
November 4, 2019
Free-For-All In Iowa
The crew previews the key elections on the ballot this Election Day and debates the role healthcare is playing in Sen. Elizabeth Warren's plateauing in national polls.
October 31, 2019
Exit Interview: Tim Ryan
Rep. Tim Ryan exited the presidential race last week. We ask him to be candid about his experience in an "exit interview."
October 28, 2019
What Should Republicans Do?
The crew debates the savviest political strategy for Senate Republicans on the issue of impeachment. They also discuss the death of al-Baghdadi and disagreement in the polls.
October 23, 2019
The Taylor Testimony
The crew discusses the significance of U.S. envoy to Ukraine William Taylor's testimony. He claimed Trump made military aid contingent on politically-motivated investigations.
October 21, 2019
Medicare For Fall
The podcast crew discusses the politics of Medicare for All in the Democratic primary. They also look at the latest impeachment polling.
October 16, 2019
Warren In The Hot Seat
The crew reacts to the fourth Democratic primary debate.
October 14, 2019
What To Look For In The 4th Debate
The crew discusses the latest impeachment polling and previews the fourth Democratic primary debate.
October 10, 2019
Law professor Kate Shaw joins the podcast to discuss the laws and history behind impeachment and how they apply to today.
October 7, 2019
Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?
The podcast crew reviews the latest news in the impeachment inquiry and discusses the two parties' strategies. They also ask if Joe Biden is the Democratic frontrunner.
October 3, 2019
How TV's Evolution Explains Our Politics
New York Times TV critic James Poniewozik joins the podcast to explain how changes in television over the past forty years have shaped American politics.
September 30, 2019
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
The crew looks at how public opinion on impeaching President Trump has changed in the week since Speaker Pelosi announced a formal inquiry.
September 26, 2019
The Whistleblower's Complaint
It's only been 48 hours since we last recorded, but a lot has happened. We discuss the release of Trump's Ukraine call summary, the whistleblower's complaint and more.
September 24, 2019
What An Impeachment Inquiry Might Mean
The crew gathers to discuss Nancy Pelosi's decision to launch an impeachment inquiry against President Trump. How'd we get here, and what might come next?
September 23, 2019
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
The crew discusses how the Ukraine story could change the impeachment conversation for Democrats. They also debate whether Elizabeth Warren is now the frontrunner in Iowa.
September 19, 2019
We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport
Nate and Galen ran into Andrew Yang waiting for the same return flight from the debate in Houston last week. They asked if he'd record a podcast and he obliged.
September 16, 2019
The State Of *Both* 2020 Primaries
The crew discusses the latest post-debate polling and what the GOP primary is teaching us about Trump's electoral strengths and weaknesses.
September 13, 2019
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate
The crew reacts to the third Democratic primary debate from the spin room floor in Houston, Texas.
September 9, 2019
How To Own The Debate
The crew discusses possible strategies for the candidates on stage in the Democratic primary debate on Thursday.
September 5, 2019
The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States
A North Carolina court panel threw out the state's legislative maps as a partisan gerrymander this week. Nancy Martorano Miller and Dave Wasserman discuss the implications.
September 3, 2019
And Then There Were Ten
The crew discusses the dynamic of the third Democratic primary debate, in which ten candidates will face off on a single night. They also ask: good use or bad use of polling?
August 29, 2019
A Constitutional Crisis In Britain?
Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss Boris Johnson's suspension of parliament and the politics of Brexit.
August 26, 2019
The Winnowing Begins
The crew takes a look at who has dropped out of the Democratic primary and why. They also assess the political risk of a hypothetical downturn in the economy.
August 22, 2019
The 2019 Elections
FiveThirtyEight elections analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley join the podcast to discuss the races on the ballot in 2019 and the current national environment.
August 19, 2019
Elizabeth Warren's Comeback
The crew discusses how Elizabeth Warren gained ground after polling fifth or sixth nationally a handful of months ago. They also ask what's changed since the El Paso shooting.
August 15, 2019
Trump's Trade War Puts His Biggest Asset At Risk
International economist Mary Lovely joins the podcast to discuss the effects of President Trump's trade war with China.
August 12, 2019
How Much Does Iowa Matter?
Following a weekend during which the 2020 candidates flooded Iowa, the crew debates the significance of the first-in-the-nation caucus state.
August 8, 2019
"The Best Pollster In Politics"
Ann Selzer, who conducts the "Iowa Poll" and has an A+ rating in FiveThirtyEight's pollster rankings, talks about the challenges of polling Iowa in 2020.
August 5, 2019
Can Trump's Words Incite Violence?
The podcast team discusses the weekend's mass shootings and the relationship between political rhetoric and violence.
August 2, 2019
Live From Detroit: The State Of The Race Post-Debates
The crew discusses the debates and the state of the 2020 Democratic primary race in downtown Detroit.
July 31, 2019
Democrats Battle It Out
The left and moderate flanks of the Democratic Party debated big ideas in the second primary debate. Nate and Galen react from downtown Detroit.
July 29, 2019
Are Democrats Moving Too Far Left?
The crew debates the risks for 2020 Democrats of taking unpopular positions on issues like healthcare and immigration. The also discuss Democrats' next steps on impeachment.
July 24, 2019
After months of back-and-forth with Democrats, former special counsel Robert Mueller testified before the U.S. House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday.
July 22, 2019
Racial Resentment As A Political Strategy
The podcast crew discusses the role that racial resentment played in the 2016 and 2018 elections and debates whether Trump could use it to his advantage in 2020.
July 18, 2019
Who's Going To Win Pennsylvania In 2020?
The podcast heads to Pennsylvania to discuss the state's political trends and what they mean for 2020.
July 15, 2019
Trump's Racist Tweets
The podcast team discusses Trump's tweets appearing to target a group of congresswomen of color. They also debate the odds of a Democrat winning a Senate seat in Kentucky.
July 11, 2019
Exit Interview: Eric Swalwell
Rep. Eric Swalwell exited the presidential race this week. We ask him to be candid about his experience in an "exit interview."
July 8, 2019
Is Biden Still The Front-Runner?
The podcast crew debates whether Joe Biden is still the front-runner in the Democratic primary race. They also discuss Rep. Justin Amash's decision to leave the GOP.
July 1, 2019
The Verdict On The Debates
The podcast crew digs into data about how voters reacted to the first debates. They also discuss the new sexual assault accusation against President Trump.
June 28, 2019
Harris Wins Narrative. We'll See About The Voters.
The crew reacts to night two of the first Democratic primary debates.
June 27, 2019
What Went Down At The First Democratic Debate
The podcast team reacts to night one of the first Democratic primary debates.
June 24, 2019
Lanes Emerge In The Democratic Primary
The crew re-assesses the significance of "lanes" in the Democratic primary and looks at Trump's Iran strategy.
June 21, 2019
What's At Stake In The Final Week Of SCOTUS Decisions
Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to discuss key decisions the Supreme Court has made so far, and what is at stake in the final 12 cases.
June 17, 2019
Who Is Persuadable In 2020?
As Trump kicks off his reelection campaign, the crew debates who is persuadable in 2020. They also discuss the Democratic primary debate lineups.
June 13, 2019
A Republican Strategist's Guide To 2020
Republican strategist and pollster Bill McInturff joins the podcast to discuss his report, "What Republicans Need to Know as We Move Toward the 2020 Election."
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