http://www.gq.com/story/tila-tequila-flat-earth

“Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science” http://science.sciencemag.org/content/349/6251/aac4716

“Weekly Fluctuations in Risk Tolerance and Voting Behaviour” Jet G. Sanders, Rob Jenkins

https://xkcd.com/435/

“Believe it or not: how much can we rely on published data on potential drug targets?” Nature, Answer? 25% http://www.nature.com/nrd/journal/v10/n9/full/nrd3439-c1.html

“Drug development: Raise standards for preclinical cancer research” Nature http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v483/n7391/full/483531a.html

“Results of social science research have failed to confirm any of these concerns about children of lesbian and gay parents” http://www.apa.org/about/policy/parenting.aspx

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EqIIeGmhL2Q

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milgram_experiment

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_parenting#Methodology

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priming_(psychology)

Number of trials to make this effect negligible: 1-0.6^14 = 99%

“Visualize Success if You Want to Fail” Forbes

“Almost 500 Foods Contain The 'Yoga Mat' Compound. Should We Care?” NPR

“The relationship between confidence and accuracy” Kevin Krug http://dev.cjcenter.org/_files/apcj/3_1_confidenceandaccuracy.pdf

False memory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_memory

Flashbulb memory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flashbulb_memory

“Expert political judgement: How good is it? How can we know?” Phillip E. Tetlock http://psycnet.apa.org/index.cfm?fa=search.displayRecord&uid=2005-09833-000#toc

“Pundits predict no more accurately than a coin toss” http://www.hamilton.edu/news/story/pundits-as-accurate-as-coin-toss-according-to-study

“Even Donald Trump’s supporters are ashamed of him: Many backers too embarrassed to admit it to pollsters” Salon’s take http://www.salon.com/2015/12/24/even_donald_trumps_supporters_are_ashamed_of_him_many_backers_too_embarrassed_to_admit_it_to_pollsters/

“Why does Donald Trump perform better in online versus live telephone polling?” The actual poll http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Morning-Consult-Donald-Trump-online-versus-live-polling-methods-study1.pdf

Powerball meme http://www.snopes.com/powerball-wealth-sharing-meme/

http://www.snopes.com/1998-trump-people-quote/

“The White House Is Not a Metronome” By Nate Silver https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/18/the-white-house-is-not-a-metronome/