France: The 57% Euroskeptic Segment ( II )

Hello friends, welcome back to the SR66 Report, a podcast on culture, society, technology and the economics of connectedness.

Today is April 15, 2022. And we are 9 days away from the second round of the French Presidential elections.

Since Sunday’s first round, many polls have flourished. The question that attracts the most interest since then has to do with the potential behavior of Mélenchon’s voters. The Left Wing candidate attracted a substantial 22% on Sunday and everyone is now wondering how these voters will cast their vote on April 24. As soon as the first polls were released right after the first round on Sunday, all analysts and observers were perplexed to notice that 30% of these Mélenchon voters were even considering casting their votes in favor of Le Pen. We gave you some elements to try to understand that behavior.

Yet, few days later, it appears that the voting intentions are indeed shifting and appear to be very volatile and unpredictable. Over the last 24 to 48 hours, some polls show that there are now only 18% of Mélenchon’s voters ready to vote in favor of Le Pen while others conducted more or less during the same period reveal on the contrary that there are 46% of these voters ready to vote for Le Pen. That’s a very wide margin which continues to show how unpredictable this second round remains.

Mélenchon voters remain indeed a highly prized segment of the electorate since the results of Sunday. Regardless of who wins on April 24, these voters will continue to attract all the attention.