November 2016 Interview with Jim Rickards Part 1 topics:
*How Complexity Theory, Behavioral Psychology, and Bayesian models used at PGF were used by Jim Rickards to predict Trump win
*There are contradictory forces within the Trump administration, so projecting certain details are not yet clear
*If Trump cuts taxes and spends $1 Trillion on infrastructure without private capital it will blow a hole in the annual deficit
*Trumps economic plan is basically the Reagan plan – the current environment is very different this time facing headwinds and a much higher debt to GDP
*If the Fed accommodates Trump on his economic plan, then Trump is the “Helicopter Money” President and inflation is then guaranteed
*If the Fed leans into inflation instead it could force economy into recession
*Comments on $9 Trillion emerging market corporate debt crisis
*Jim’s new book The Road to Ruin is now available on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Road-Ruin-Global-Elites-Financial/dp/1591848083
*A Trump Presidency has no impact on the potential for systemic risk
*Comments on complexity theory, critical states, and catalysts
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