The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Wednesday - September 30, 2026
9 minutes Posted Sep 30, 2026 at 7:35 pm.
Quarter End Market Recap
PCE Inflation And Yield Curve
Fed Hike Odds And Jobs Watch
GDP Payrolls And Spending
Bond Vigilantes And The Fed Put
Valuation Question CAPE Vs PEG
Tech Boom Comparisons And AI Risk
Dividend Focused Wrap Up
0:00
9:48
Download MP3
Show notes
On Sept. 30, Brian Szytel reports a bifurcated market into quarter-end, with the Dow down about 200 points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise, led by large-cap growth; yields steepen as the 10-year and 30-year move higher. A cooler-than-expected PCE inflation report (core and year-over-year) lowers implied odds of an October Fed hike to about 35%, though Friday’s nonfarm payrolls could shift expectations. Other data were stronger: Q2 GDP revised up to 2.2%, ADP payrolls beat estimates, and consumer spending was robust, suggesting the economy is still humming despite high rates and debt concerns. He discusses a shifting Fed “put” narrative and answers why forward PEG ratios can look cheap versus expensive backward-looking metrics: higher expected growth, stronger profitability, and greater index concentration in the “Mag Seven,” with risk that earnings expectations could fall if AI spending disappoints.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com