The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Monday - September 28, 2026
19 minutes Posted Sep 28, 2026 at 9:27 pm.
Welcome From Vegas
Friday Energy Plug
Market Drop Recap
Breadth Warning Signs
Bond Yields And Sectors
Mega Cap Rally Context
Valuation Rubber Band
China Talks Update
Election Odds And Senate Map
Economic And Housing Data
Fed Oversight Proposal
Oil And Energy Headlines
Week Ahead And Wrap Up
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19:49
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4AC4xy1
From Las Vegas ahead of an investment conference, the host recaps a volatile market day (Dow -347, S&P -0.77%, Nasdaq -0.92%) while the S&P sits near all-time highs despite very weak breadth: ~60% of S&P 500 names are down 20%+ and the market has seen repeated 52-week lows exceed highs; he clarifies a misunderstood stat showing the weighted average decline among 430 down names is 21.7%. He ties the damage to rising yields (10-year ~5.23%), notes defensives led on the down day (staples, healthcare, energy), and argues mega-cap rallies can occur within a longer consolidation after stretched valuations, with a “rubber band” in relative sector valuations. He also covers friendlier U.S.–China tone with mostly status-quo trade, election prediction-market odds, flat August durable goods, more housing price cuts and rising inventory, mixed office-market trends by city, Fed proposals to raise bank oversight thresholds, and oil near $93 with Iran/diesel-export headlines; Q3 ends this week and TBG begins annual manager meetings next week.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com