The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Tuesday - September 22, 2026
9 minutes Posted Sep 22, 2026 at 9:14 pm.
Market Snapshot
Rates and Fed Conditions
Oil Move and Inflation Signals
AI Semis vs Software Rotation
Outlook for More Hikes
Carry Trade Explained
BOJ Shift and Deleveraging
Wrap Up and Calendar
0:00
9:31
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Show notes
Brian Szytel recaps a mixed market day: the S&P 500 finished flat, the Dow fell 185 points, and the Nasdaq rose about 0.5% as long-end yields eased slightly and the 10-year held near 4.95%. He notes financial conditions have loosened a bit since the Fed’s recent hike, with stocks higher, tight credit spreads, and long yields down, while markets still price more restrictive Fed policy even as WTI slipped below $90. He observes a previously strong negative correlation between AI/semiconductors and software stocks is becoming more nuanced, creating potential opportunities. Addressing a listener question, he explains how the long-running yen carry trade was amplified by U.S. rate hikes and Japan’s zero rates, but is now unwinding as Japan raises rates, reducing arbitrage, prompting deleveraging and some risk-asset pressure, though orderly so far.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com