The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Wednesday - September 9, 2026
9 minutes Posted Sep 9, 2026 at 8:52 am.
Market Close Recap
Treasury Buyback Buzz
Yield Curve Control Limits
Why Borrowing Long Matters
Fed Mandate And Inflation Risk
Japan Zero Rate Lessons
Europe Negative Rate Backfire
Wrap Up And Data Ahead
0:00
9:17
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Show notes
Brian Szytel reports a third straight market decline (Dow -405, S&P -0.5%, Nasdaq -0.7%) alongside falling bond prices and a 10-year yield up 5 bps to 4.84%, noting Treasury talk of increasing long-bond buybacks to $6B is too small versus ~$5.5T of long debt and was met by higher yields. He walks through a hypothetical of refinancing all long-term debt with T-bills, which could flatten the curve but would push short rates up, remove long-duration supply, and make U.S. financing resemble an emerging market, undermining the Fed and increasing fiscal sensitivity and inflation premiums. He notes T-bills are ~22% of issuance vs a ~15–20% target. He discusses Japan and Europe’s zero/negative-rate policies often producing unintended outcomes (carry trades, deleveraging, higher saving). No major data today; PPI tomorrow and CPI Friday.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com