The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Tuesday - September 1, 2026
8 minutes Posted Sep 1, 2026 at 8:49 pm.
September Market Recap
Oil Spike and Rates Jump
Stocks Slide and Rotation
Economic Data Check
Fed Dots Versus Futures
Why Rate Forecasts Miss
Foreign Treasury Holders
Dollar Basket and Deficits
Wrap Up and Q&A
0:00
8:47
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Show notes
Brian Szytel recaps a down market day driven by heightened Iran-U.S. tensions, higher oil prices (WTI up 5.9% near $90; Brent near $95), and rising interest rates (10-year around 4.79%), with the Dow down 419 points, S&P 500 down 0.7%, and Nasdaq down 1% as long-duration assets weakened. Economic data was slightly below forecasts but still constructive, including 7.2 million job openings and an ISM manufacturing PMI of 54.6 (eighth month above 50). He notes a gap between Fed dot-plot projections and futures-implied rate paths and emphasizes how unreliable rate forecasts can be given policy lags. Addressing questions about foreign Treasury selling (China and Japan), he explains foreign ownership has fluctuated historically and argues the core issue is U.S. deficit spending and rising debt costs, while the dollar’s basket weight recently increased to 43%.
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DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com