The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Thursday - August 13, 2026
8 minutes Posted Aug 13, 2026 at 9:26 pm.
Market Rally Recap
Inflation Data Boost
Rates Expectations Shift
Valuations Versus Fundamentals
Weekly Claims And Geopolitics
Debt And Inflation Playbook
US Debt To GDP Context
Japan Comparison And Scale
Wrap Up And Next Episode
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Show notes
Brian Szytel reviews a broad market rally with the Dow up 69 points, the S&P 500 up two-thirds of a percent, and the Nasdaq up eight-tenths, alongside a modest bond rally as the 10-year yield fell three basis points to 4.65; WTI oil declined about 2.5% to $81. He highlights disinflationary data following a cooler CPI, with PPI coming in flat versus expectations of +0.2 and core PPI at 0.2 versus 0.3, putting core PPI at 4.2% year over year. Fed futures shifted, with September hike odds falling to about 32% from over 50% two days prior, while fundamentals remain strong despite valuation concerns near 22x. Weekly jobless claims were slightly worse at 209k versus 204k. He also discusses how inflation can erode sovereign debt burdens, risks of high debt-to-GDP (U.S. ~120%), and contrasts with Japan’s 204% given domestic ownership of JGBs.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com