The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Tuesday - August 11, 2026
8 minutes Posted Aug 11, 2026 at 8:14 pm.
Market Snapshot
Economic Data Check
Debt Growth Explained
Debt Eras Breakdown
Why It Still Matters
Tax Revenue Clarification
Wrap Up
0:00
8:46
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Show notes
Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Tuesday, August 11, describing a quiet, rudderless market session ahead of tomorrow’s CPI, with the Dow and S&P down about 0.3% and the Nasdaq down about 0.6%, the 10-year near 4.69%, and oil up about 1%. He notes better-than-expected NFIB small business optimism (99.8 vs. 97) and slightly stronger existing home sales (~4.1 million) though housing remains frozen by higher rates. Szytel then analyzes U.S. federal debt growth across eras since 2000, citing debt CAGR of 7.3% (2000–2008), 8.0% (2008–2017), 9.5% (2017–2022), and 6.6% (2022–now), arguing debt still grows faster than nominal GDP even in strong times. He also clarifies U.S. tax revenue is 17% of GDP federally but 27% including state and local when comparing to Europe’s ~50%.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com