Show notes
Brian Szytel recaps a down Thursday market session (Dow -464, S&P -13, Nasdaq flat) amid ongoing rotation between tech and value, with the 10-year yield up 6 bps to 4.68%. Economic data showed initial jobless claims at 199k, a historically low level supportive of strong employment, and Q2 productivity rising 1.4% versus 0.6% expected, which he notes could be disinflationary over time alongside tools like AI. He then focuses on U.S. fiscal issues, citing a 7.7% fiscal gap versus much smaller gaps in Germany, France, and Italy, arguing Europe’s lower gaps reflect much higher taxation (including ~20% VATs), which comes with slower growth and reduced competitiveness. He warns U.S. fiscal irresponsibility can reduce long-term growth, even if higher rates from “bond vigilantes” are uncertain in timing.Links mentioned in this episode:DividendCafe.comTheBahnsenGroup.com

