The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Monday - July 20, 2026
14 minutes Posted Jul 20, 2026 at 10:14 pm.
Welcome and Setup
Iran Tensions and Oil
Market Wrap and Sectors
IPO Froth Check
Senate Races Outlook
Economy Data and Tariffs
Housing and Fed Preview
Energy Earnings and Gas
Ask TBG Short Selling
Wrap Up and Links
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14:06
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4yvcd4b
David Bahnsen reviews a modest down day for markets as Iran tensions and reported American casualties push oil above $80 (ending above $83), with the Dow down ~300, S&P -19 bps, Nasdaq -5 bps, and the 10-year yield at 4.59%; communication services and energy led while healthcare lagged. He cites IPO froth cooling, noting SpaceX below $120 versus a $135 IPO and far off highs. In politics, he highlights Maine’s Senate race likely featuring progressive Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins and notes Michigan Democrats consolidating behind Haley Stevens, outlining the difficult map for a Democratic Senate majority. Economically, he underscores the Supreme Court reversal of IEEPA tariffs lowering blended import tariffs from ~11% to ~6–6.5%, while flagging a record 105.8M outside the labor force, soft industrial production, rising import prices, and housing starts driven by multifamily. He previews next week’s Fed meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, balance-sheet maturity shortening, midstream earnings (Kinder Morgan), and answers why shorting stocks is inherently leveraged and generally unsuitable for most investors.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com