The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Thursday - July 9, 2026
8 minutes Posted Jul 9, 2026 at 4:12 pm.
Market Recap Volatility
Jobs And Housing Data
Housing Affordability Reset
Fed Minutes Takeaways
Dot Plot And Guidance
Why Business Cycles Persist
Wrap Up And Q&A
0:00
8:57
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Show notes
In this midweek Dividend Cafe (Thursday, July 9), Brian Szytel notes a mixed recovery in markets amid renewed volatility tied to Middle East tensions, while oil prices pulled back slightly and interest rates were flat to slightly lower. Economic updates included initial jobless claims coming in a bit better than expected, suggesting steady, healthy employment, and weaker existing home sales (down 3.4% to 4.09 million), reflecting affordability pressures from high rates and a stuck housing market, with modest price declines seen as healthy clearing. He reviews June FOMC minutes showing a divided committee, some discussion of potential hikes, continued attention to AI demand, geopolitical risks, tariffs as a GDP drag, and higher inflation projections for 2026–2027, with expectations split between hikes and no change. He also explains that business cycles persist due to real-economy lags in capital, credit, inventories, labor, and policy transmission.
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