The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Wednesday - June 24, 2026
7 minutes Posted Jun 24, 2026 at 9:00 pm.
Market Bounce Fizzles
Valuations and Oil Risk
Yield Curve Warning Signs
Fed Policy and Rate Hike Odds
Listener Question on Spreads
Housing Data Miss
Wrap Up and Sign Off
0:00
7:05
Download MP3
Show notes
Brian Szytel recaps a Wednesday session that began with a recovery bounce led by technology as interest rates and WTI fell, but the rally fizzled and selling in tech resumed while value names held up better. He says markets are digesting valuation pressure with stocks trading around 22–23x earnings and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran negotiations, which could affect oil prices. He highlights the 2s/10s spread flattening from about 80 bps earlier in the year to about 26 bps, suggesting slowing growth and potential Fed policy risk as inflation remains a concern; markets imply a high chance of at least one rate hike by year-end. The key data point was weak May new home sales (580k vs 640k expected) and elevated unsold new-home inventory at 9.4 months amid high mortgage rates.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com