The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Thursday - May 21, 2026
7 minutes Posted May 21, 2026 at 9:35 pm.
Welcome and Updates
Market Close Recap
Inflation and Fed Outlook
Today Economic Data
How to Read Data
Wrap Up and Thanks
Disclosures
0:00
7:33
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Show notes
Brian Szytel recaps a positive market turnaround from Miami Beach after Hightower leadership meetings, with the Dow up about 280 points, the S&P up ~15 bps, and the Nasdaq up ~10 bps; year-to-date, the Dow is up ~5%, the S&P ~9%, and the Nasdaq ~13%. Rates were little changed with the 10-year around 4.56%, and WTI oil was slightly down amid reports of a potential Saudi-linked development in the Iran conflict. He discusses persistent core inflation across CPI, PPI, and PCE as demand growth outpaces supply growth alongside rising money supply, while maintaining the thesis of a 1% real Fed funds rate but with higher inflation expectations (now ~2.5–3%) implying a higher terminal Fed funds range. Economic data included slightly better housing starts (~1.5M), in-line jobless claims (209k), strong flash manufacturing PMI (55.3), and slightly softer services PMI (50.9), and he explains why markets focus on results versus expectations.
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DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com