The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Thursday - May 14, 2026
9 minutes Posted May 14, 2026 at 9:45 pm.
). He addresses a question about sharing ideas on media, emphasizing TBG’s client relationship and evolving portfolio management as the core value. Economic notes: retail sales in line, jobless claims slightly higher but in line, and import/export prices higher with exports rising more.
Market Snapshot
Rates Oil And Geopolitics
AI Boom And Wall Of Worry
Refunds And Tariff Rebate Boost
Valuations Earnings And Sentiment
Sharing Ideas Versus Client Value
Economic Data And Sign Off
0:00
9:06
Download MP3
Show notes
On Thursday, May 14, Brian Szytel recaps a broad market gain (Dow +370, S&P 500 +0.7%, Nasdaq +0.9%) with the 10-year Treasury closing near 4.48% and argues the 4.50% level is not a meaningful “line in the sand,” noting rate pressure tied to oil above $100 amid Iran-deal uncertainty. He summarizes Trump’s two-day meeting with China’s President Xi as generally positive, with Xi raising Taiwan and Trump not engaging. Markets continue a “wall of worry” melt-up driven by an AI capex/productivity boom, while Q1 tax refunds ($202B vs. $179B last year) and about $100B in refunded tariffs (about one-third already returned) add stimulus, though both reflect timing of taxes extracted and refunded. Strong earnings compressed valuations (S&P ~22x to ~21x), with Middle East tensions and energy prices creating Q2 uncertainty and a moderate bull-bear ratio (~2.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com