The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Monday - April 13, 2026
10 minutes Posted Apr 13, 2026 at 8:37 pm.
Market Whiplash Recap
Iran Blockade Strategy
Oil Spike and Volatility
Blockade Costs and Outlook
Inflation and Tariff Talk
Housing Market Check
Fed Uncertainty and Rates
Why US Oil Output Lags
Earnings and AI Preview
Wrap Up and Thanks
0:00
10:03
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4cmGmIS
In this Monday Dividend Cafe, David recaps a volatile session in which futures fell 400–500 points after Iran negotiations failed, then markets rallied into the close as investors weighed a new U.S. strategy: a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz aimed at halting Iranian trade and forcing reopening. Oil spiked about 8% overnight but ended up roughly 1.5% to around $98, while estimates suggest the blockade could cost Iran about $275M/day in exports and $150M/day in imports. Bahnsen expects continued volatility and notes a tariff threat tied to arms sales to Iran was not taken seriously by markets. He also reviews CPI (3.3% headline, 2.6% core; gasoline up 21% MoM), weak existing home sales, uncertainty around Fed leadership and rate cuts, why U.S. producers focus on futures pricing, and the start of earnings season, with an AI-focused episode planned Friday.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com