The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Can the Bull Market Continue?
20 minutes Posted Mar 27, 2026 at 2:56 pm.
Bull Market Check-In
When Did It Start
Why Definitions Don’t Matter
What Ends Bull Markets
Labor Market Purgatory
Tightening Financial Conditions
Corporate Profits Outlook
Portfolio Takeaways
Why Dividend Growth Wins
Final Thoughts and Sign-Off
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Show notes
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4bzTmf0
David Bahnsen reviews recent market weakness and volatility and asks whether the secular bull market remains structurally intact, arguing the exact start date (2009, 2019, or late 2022) is ultimately semantic. He says bull markets are driven by corporate profits and sentiment rooted in economic reality, and that long-term history trends upward despite periodic recessions, geopolitical shocks, and bear markets. To assess sustainability, he focuses on three factors: labor markets, financial conditions, and corporate profits. He describes “purgatory” data—benign jobless claims but weaker hiring intentions and openings; tightening but not extreme credit conditions; and strong expected profit growth that is also vulnerable to disappointment amid high valuations. He concludes portfolio positioning matters more than predictions, emphasizing dividend growth investing as a defensive approach for both accumulators and retirees.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com