The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
Tuesday - March 3, 2026
9 minutes Posted Mar 3, 2026 at 9:53 pm.
Market Selloff Recap
Strait Tensions and Oil Spike
Energy Supply Disruptions
War Headlines and Market Context
Inflation Breakevens and TIPS
Staying Calm in Volatility
Week Ahead Economic Data
Ask TBG AI and Energy
US Power Buildout Outlook
China Chips and DeepSeek
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Show notes
On Tuesday, March 3, Brian Szytel reports a volatile session where the Dow opened down about 850 points, fell as much as 1,200, and recovered to close down about 400, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down about 1% and moving more in unison; the 10-year yield rose only 1 bp after being up over 6 bps earlier. Markets reacted to fears around a near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which briefly lifted oil over 9% before closing up 2.8%, and to U.S. assurances of tanker insurance/protection that eased inflation expectations; TIPS breakevens jumped about 20 bps. He notes LNG is cut off to most Middle East countries and export transportation is down 20%, with U.S. gas about 40% cheaper than Europe/Asia. He previews key week data (ADP, PMI/ISM services, Beige Book, claims, productivity, and the employment report) and answers an AI question: U.S. power upgrades are “when, not if” despite regulatory delays and natural-gas advantages, while China faces chip export controls; U.S.–China AI partnership is unlikely due to national security concerns.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com