Lone Wolf Survival by the Ancient Texan
Lone Wolf Survival by the Ancient Texan
Lone Wolf Survival, Stories and Poetry
Lessons from Evergrande in China
15 minutes Posted Oct 20, 2021 at 6:25 pm.
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Show notes
  • $300 billion in debt
  • 300 million poor still exist in China
  • 30% of China economy is real-estate
  • 70% of Chinese savings is in real-estate
  • Gini coefficient U.S. 41.1 China 38
  • Property
    • 1.4 million properties in       suspended construction and or not started
      • Ponzi scheme
    • 90 million empty properties.       Prices should fall
    • People who bought properties       are not in the same cities as where the properties were built
    • 300 million poor not able to       pay the rent
    • How to protect investors and homeowners.
  • Political dimension
    • Stay in power by improving       economics
    • Can't print money without       consequences- not world currencies
    • Public not OK with house       prices falling
      • 20% drop already
      • Protests in China want help from the government
  • Turn into a national company?
    • Forced restructuring
    • Bondholders overseas
      • Hong Kong
      • 30 days before in default
      • Foreign exposure
    • Indicative of general China growth slowdown
      • Power cuts around china
      • No immigration
      • Limited minority involvement in the economy
      • Slow down from demographics
        • Vietnam picking up China manufacturing
    • South China sea tolerated because they are the growth engine
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