Reasonable Hope (Philosophy)
Reasonable Hope (Philosophy)
Brian Rihner
The 51% Rule
3 minutes Posted May 4, 2026 at 5:53 pm.
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We often wait for complete certainty before taking action—but life rarely offers it. Drawing from actuarial thinking, Brian explores how most decisions live in probabilities, not absolutes. True confidence isn’t the absence of doubt; it’s moving forward with what is more likely than not. You don’t need 100% certainty to live with full commitment—51% can be enough to begin.