Questions:

1. What does it mean to map the progress of an epidemic?
2. Is testing crucial?
3. What is an algorithm that is used for predicting the progress of an epidemic?
4. What is the difference between out-brakes and modeling?
5. What happens after modeling?

Outline – Notes:

1. Data support
   1. Testing data to map a population
   2. # hospitalizations
   3. Deaths
   4. Past infectious disease progress
   5. Expert surveys
   6. Did lock down occur?
2. Out-brakes vs. Modeling
   1. How many are going to get the disease?
   2. Out-brakes  -- % of current deaths
   3. Modeling  -- % of expected deaths based on looking backward
3. Complicating Factors
   1. Social factors
   2. Geography
   3. Cultures

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