After a sharp two day rally on Wall Street, the CONVERSATION ponders the outlook. DICK BOVE, chief financial strategist at ODEON CAPITAL GROUP offers historical perspective noting how markets have risen in the month of October as businesses engage in seasonal commercial activity. "I think the latest rally is [also] part of the bear market rally," he adds, as investors conclude the US Fed is under pressure to ease off on its campaign to fight inflation. BOVE, a resident of Tampa, Florida, escaped the worst effects of Hurricane Ian that pummeled his state. But he notes the huge toll, the loss of lives and extensive property damage statewide. BOVE says the reality for banks and insurance brokerage companies is a separate story. "Banks make a fortune from hurricanes as do the insurance brokerage companies," he says.
Meanwhile, the UK government did a revamp of its original tax cut and spending plan with the sterling suffering its worst month since Brexit. JOHN AIDAN BYRNE points to the enormous gross debt to GDP ratios for major economies saying by this measure the UK is faring much better than the US. "The US is not the UK," responds MAT VAN ALSTYNE, ODEON co-founder and managing partner. A fundamental economic problem for the UK currency is that it is a net importer of energy which it purchases in a currency that is not its own, according to VAN ALSTYNE. The US does not have this dilemma, he says. The CONVERSATION looks at how the US dollar is exporting chaos around the globe in the view of BOVE, who renews his calls for a new Plaza Accord with other leading economies. Will the US economy sees a rise in "housing slums" under present government policy? BOVE thinks it is a distinct possibility.
E-Mail Questions & Comments: [email protected]

