No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups
Conviction
Chasing Trillion-Dollar Companies, Founder Ambition, Token Budgets, and Regulatory Capture with Sarah & Elad
39 minutes Posted Aug 6, 2026 at 10:00 am.
– Cold Open Trailer
– Episode Introduction
– The Next Trillion-Dollar Company
– Tech Waves as Punctuated Equilibria 
– TAM vs. Revenue Reality
– Market Size vs. Speed
– When Founders Should Sell
– Financing and Time Cost
– RSI and the Looming Promise of ASI
– Compute Power Laws
– Regulations and Disruption
– Beyond Transformers
– Tradeoffs Safety vs. Progress
– Conclusion
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39:29
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Show notes
Is the tech industry moving too quickly, or are founders letting fear of AI labs stunt their ambitions? Sarah and Elad explore the current landscape of artificial intelligence, venture capital, and startup dynamics. They discuss the realities of building multi-trillion-dollar companies, shifting market sizes and outcome-based pricing models, and how founders are reacting to the rise of major AI labs. They also talk about what the framework for startup exits should look like, the potential for researcher burnouts in the next eighteen months as ASI looms on the horizon, bottlenecks for compute, and the impact of regulatory capture and shifting ecosystems from California to Texas.
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