JSEDirect with Simon Brown
JSEDirect with Simon Brown
www.JustOneLap.com
Is the Gold Collapse Over?
17 minutes Posted Feb 3, 2026 at 10:47 am.
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๐ŸŒ Worldwide Markets โ€“ Episode 664 ๐Ÿ“… Recorded: Tuesday midday | ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Host: Simon Brown This week on Worldwide Markets, we unpack a wild ride across commodities, central banks, tech titans, and global trade โ€” with gold stealing the spotlight once again. ๐ŸŸก Has Gold Bottomed? Gold went vertical โ€” and then snapped back hard. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Ran from around $4,300 โ†’ $5,600, before a brutal sell-off ๐Ÿ“‰ Dropped to $4,600, now stabilising near $4,900 ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ That giant red "kangaroo tail" candle looks ugly โ€” butโ€ฆ The bigger picture hasn't changed: ๐Ÿ’ต Debasement trade still intact ๐ŸŒ Central banks bought ~800 tonnes last year ๐Ÿฆ ETF investors were big buyers again after selling in 2024 โžก๏ธ Verdict: Likely consolidation, not collapse. Sideways is the base case. Gold |Weekly | 03 February 2026 ๐Ÿงฑ Commodities Ran Too Hot It wasn't just gold: ๐Ÿ”ฉ Copper, silver, platinum, palladium all surged ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Brent crude nearly hit $70 ๐Ÿชจ Aluminium hit US record prices, creating transatlantic arbitrage Nothing goes straight up forever โ€” profit-taking was inevitable. ๐Ÿช™ What About Silver? Simon stays honest here: โ“ Industrial demand and price dislocations matter โš ๏ธ But silver remains complex and opaque ๐Ÿ’ก Portfolio stance: โœ… Holding gold miners โœ… Holding gold ETFs (local & offshore) โŒ No silver exposure โ€” and comfortable with that ๐Ÿฆ Fed Drama: Enter Steve Walsh Trump's Fed chair nominee spooked markets โ€” but context matters: ๐Ÿ”„ Walsh is not a hawk, more a rate flip-flopper ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Previously opposed rate cutsโ€ฆ until Trump won ๐Ÿ“‰ Trump wants lower rates โ€” Walsh says he'll deliver The challenge? ๐Ÿง  Convincing the rest of the FOMC ๐Ÿช‘ Jerome Powell still has influence for now โžก๏ธ Expect noise, not an instant policy pivot. ๐Ÿš€ SpaceX + xAI = Trillion-Dollar IPO? Big Elon energy this week: ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ SpaceX acquires xAI ๐Ÿง  Grok + data + power + space = big ambitions ๐Ÿ“Š IPO rumoured for mid-2026 ๐Ÿ’ฐ Valuation likely north of $1 trillion Simon likes SpaceXโ€ฆ less excited by the social-media side. ๐Ÿš— SA Vehicle Sales: Still Strong January numbers surprised again: ๐Ÿ“Š Sales near levels last seen in 2019 / early 2022 ๐Ÿ† Toyota leads, but Chinese brands keep climbing ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chery, GWM, JAC & friends reshaping the market Consumers are still buying โ€” despite high rates. ๐Ÿค USโ€“India Trade "Peace"โ€ฆ Sort Of A deal was announced, but details are fuzzy: ๐Ÿ“‰ Tariffs reduced (somewhat) ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ India supposedly to stop buying Russian oil (๐Ÿ‘€) ๐Ÿ’ธ India to buy $500bn of US goods (timeline unclear) History lesson: ๐ŸŒฎ Trump tariff threats turn real only ~20% of the time โš–๏ธ Supreme Court still deciding if Trump even has the authority โžก๏ธ Lots of headlines, fewer guarantees. ๐ŸŽ“ Upcoming Event: Power Hour ๐Ÿ“… 19 February ๐Ÿ“ Rosebank (in-person) + webcast ๐Ÿ’ก Topic: Tax-Free Investing & ETFs ๐Ÿ‘‰ Book at justonelap.com/events ๐Ÿ‘‹ Closing Thoughts Markets are noisy, emotional, and fast โ€” but the big-picture trends still matter more than the candles. Until next week: ๐Ÿค Look after yourself ๐Ÿค And if you can, look after someone else too Cheers! ๐Ÿป Simon Brown * I hold ungeared positions. All charts by KoyFin | Get 10% off your order