Overconfidence feels good. It's seductive. But unchecked, it can lead us into risky territory, blindsiding us with problems we could have seen coming.

 

Before charging forward with a decision, especially one that feels too easy or unchallenged, try conducting a "pre-mortem." Instead of examining what did go wrong after the fact, you imagine what could go wrong before it happens. Here's how to do a Pre-Mortem: