Matthew sits down with James Pierog, founder of Glimpse, to discuss the launch of a new Bitcoin-native prediction market focused on forecasting Bitcoin prices and financial markets. James explains how prediction markets evolved from academic scoring-rule research into modern platforms and why he believes current prediction markets often prioritize entertainment over economically meaningful forecasting. The conversation explores the mechanics behind Glimpse’s design, including its use of Bitcoin-denominated contracts, liquidity-sensitive market makers, and probability distributions rather than simple yes/no outcomes.James argues that prediction markets can become a powerful tool for discovering future prices of Bitcoin, gold, commodities, and financial assets, while helping users think in Bitcoin terms rather than fiat currencies. The discussion examines the challenges of decentralization, market resolution, liquidity, and regulation, comparing Glimpse’s approach to platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Matthew and James also explore how prediction markets could interact with Bitcoin’s power law thesis, potentially providing real-time insight into how traders collectively view Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.The episode dives into market incentives, information aggregation, and whether prediction markets can serve as a form of financial forecasting infrastructure rather than simply speculation. James outlines Glimpse’s roadmap, including future markets for gold, commodities, and Bitcoin-denominated asset pricing, as well as API access for algorithmic traders and quantitative researchers. The conversation concludes with a broader discussion about the role prediction markets may play in a future economy increasingly measured and settled in Bitcoin.Follow James Pierog on X: @BillyHongBeatsFollow James Pierog on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-pierog/Follow Glimpse on X: @GlimpseMarketsGlimpse Website: https://www.glimpse.trading/Crypto Voices: Episode 200Chapters: