Crypto Voices
Crypto Voices
Matthew Mezinskis
PE39: What will the Bitcoin network be worth in 2030, based on trend?
22 minutes Posted Mar 8, 2023 at 12:59 pm.
Intro
Bitcoin supply in BTC-terms
Bitcoin supply in USD-terms (market cap)
Four basic regression trendlines
Bitcoin market cap power trendline (96% R-squared)
Log scale
1-sigma percentile moves
2-sigma percentile moves
Predictive trendlines
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22:42
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Show notes
Check out show sponsor Coinkite: https://coinkite.com/
Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/
This is the thirty-ninth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
Here we compare the Bitcoin network supply in native bitcoins with the Bitcoin network supply in US-dollars. We also layer in its best-fitting trendline, a power regression, as well as 1- and 2-sigma percentile bands to better understand where we are now versus historical levels.
Coefficients:
y = a * x ^ b
y = y-intercept * x ^ slope
y = 4.39E-22 * x ^ 657%
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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.