Crypto Voices
Crypto Voices
Matthew Mezinskis
PE17: Power trend percentiles on bitcoin price
21 minutes Posted Feb 1, 2023 at 1:33 pm.
Intro
Centralized exchange problems in BTC history
Power regression trendline (95% R-squared)
1-sigma bands
2-sigma bands
Predictive trend
Log scale
Log-log scale
Finance is not a bell curve
Power trend summary
0:00
21:44
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Show notes
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Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/
This is the seventeenth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.
Contents
Here we run and explain a power trendline over the last 13+ years of bitcoin price data, as well as 1-sigma and 2-sigma percentile bands around the trendline.
Coefficients:
y = a * x ^ b
y = y-intercept * x ^ slope
y = 6.12E-18 * x ^ 590%
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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.