Notes on the Week Ahead
Notes on the Week Ahead
Dr. David Kelly
The New, New Normal
12 minutes Posted Sep 8, 2026 at 12:05 pm.
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Show notes
The era of low growth, low inflation and super-low interest rates that followed the Great Financial Crisis was christened by Mohamed El-Erian as “The New Normal”. While this episode largely came to an end with the post-pandemic growth and inflation surge, real interest rates had generally remained below the levels that prevailed in the decades before the financial crisis until recently. However, a steady bond market selloff in 2026, which accelerated over the summer, has now pushed real long-term Treasury yields to their highest levels since 2010.